Sport Picks
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U19 Samoa Football HQ, Apia 
Match Events
23'
23'
Hill H.
43'
43'
Lienard A.
50'
50'
Hill H.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 6-1. The second leg ended 6-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
61%
15%
24%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and New Zealand U19 come out ahead of New Caledonia U19 on wins alone.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U19 taking it.
- New Zealand U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor New Zealand U19, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and New Zealand U19 have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 17%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | New Zealand U19 | New Caledonia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 25 |
| Wins | 21 | 14 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 4.9 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.14 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.31 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
6:1
Jul 18, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:4
Jul 5, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
3:0
Aug 16, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs New Caledonia U19
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
New Zealand U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Hill H.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lienard A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66
New Caledonia U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
New Zealand U19 84 / 100
New Caledonia U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
New Zealand U19 New Caledonia U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
New Zealand U19 found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (21 games).
New Caledonia U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 25 matches.
H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.
New Zealand U19 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
New Zealand U19 VS New Caledonia U19
4.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
New Zealand U19
(Home) 14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2 New Zealand U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6 New Zealand U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0 Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0 Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 5
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0 Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0 Tahiti U19
15 Jul
New Zealand U19
1 : 0 Fiji U19
09 Jul
New Zealand U19
5 : 0 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3
New Caledonia U19
(Away) 13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3 Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
14 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
2 : 3 New Caledonia U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2 New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Semi-finals
Solomon Islands U19 1
Tahiti U19 2
New Zealand U19 6
New Caledonia U19 1
Final
Tahiti U19 0
New Zealand U19 2
Solomon Islands U19 1
New Caledonia U19 0
