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New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Martin N.
37' Event
Cartwright A.
40' Event
Hill H.

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 in this OFC Championship U19 matchup, with the score ending 8-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
New Zealand U19
15%
Draws
27%
Tahiti U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to New Zealand U19 lately — more wins on the board than Tahiti U19.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U19 taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors New Zealand U19 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 21 10
Draws 0 2
Losses 0 8
Goals Scored 4.9 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.14 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 3.31 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Tahiti U19 vs New Zealand U19
0:2
Sep 2, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
8:0
Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:0
Aug 6, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fitzharris V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Martin N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.66

Tahiti U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 85 / 100
Tahiti U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

New Zealand U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Tahiti U19 conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U19 VS Tahiti U19
4.5 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U19

(Home)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1
New Caledonia U19
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
05 Sept
New Zealand U19
2 : 0
Fiji U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
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Tahiti U19

(Away)
14 Sept
Tahiti U19
0 : 2
New Zealand U19
10 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 2
Tahiti U19
07 Sept
Tahiti U19
2 : 1
Fiji U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
02 Sept
New Zealand U19
8 : 0
Tahiti U19
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands U19 3 3 0 0 6:1 9
2 New Caledonia U19 3 2 0 1 12:5 6
3 Papua New Guinea U19 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 4:10 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U19 3 3 0 0 16:0 9
2 Tahiti U19 3 1 1 1 3:10 4
3 Fiji U19 3 1 0 2 8:6 3
4 Vanuatu U19 3 0 1 2 3:14 1
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 (5th-8th places)