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New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2022 Stade Pater
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U19 play Tahiti U19 in the OFC Championship U19 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, New Zealand U19 averaged 4.94 goals scored and 0.13 conceded. Tahiti U19 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. In past meetings, New Zealand U19 won 3, Tahiti U19 won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 22, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for New Zealand U19 and 1.49 for Tahiti U19. This points to a New Zealand U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
New Zealand U19
15%
Draws
31%
Tahiti U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Zealand U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • New Zealand U19 picked up more points recently compared to Tahiti U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 1.49 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 65%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Over 3.5 Goals 39%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21%
New Zealand U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Tahiti U19 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19
Matches Played 16 15
Wins 16 8
Draws 0 1
Losses 0 6
Goals Scored 4.94 2.07
Goals Conceded 0.13 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 5.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2022 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:0
Aug 19, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
1:0
Aug 6, 2018 OFC Championship U19
New Zealand U19 vs Tahiti U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Donkers K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.95
Avg xA / game 2.56

Tahiti U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U19 52 / 100
Tahiti U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U19 Tahiti U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick New Zealand U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick New Zealand U19 & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.69
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

New Zealand U19 attacking → ← attacking Tahiti U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U19 scored in 100% of their last 16 games.

Tahiti U19 let in goals in 47% of their last 15 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

New Zealand U19 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Tahiti U19 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

48 Points in last 5 25
5.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88