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New Zealand U23 vs Papua New Guinea

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games 2019 game between New Zealand U23 and Papua New Guinea finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Zealand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U23
6%
Draws
4%
Papua New Guinea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Papua New Guinea haven't matched New Zealand U23's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand U23 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U23 Papua New Guinea
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 19 12
Draws 3 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 3 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 14, 2019 Pacific Games
New Zealand U23 vs Papua New Guinea
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U23 83 / 100
Papua New Guinea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U23 Papua New Guinea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U23 found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (26 games).

Papua New Guinea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

New Zealand U23 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U23 VS Papua New Guinea
1 Goals Scored 1
3 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Uzbekistan U23
3 : 1
New Zealand U23
09 Sept
New Zealand U23
9 : 0
Fiji U23
06 Sept
New Zealand U23
8 : 0
Vanuatu U23
30 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 1
Fiji U23
27 Aug
New Zealand U23
3 : 0
Papua New Guinea U23
Page 1 of 6

Papua New Guinea

(Away)
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0
Solomon Islands
21 Dec
Vanuatu
1 : 2
Papua New Guinea
18 Dec
Solomon Islands
2 : 3
Papua New Guinea
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Zealand U23431020:110
2Papua New Guinea430116:29
3Vanuatu421125:27
4Samoa41033:223
5Tonga40040:370
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1New Caledonia550022:015
2Fiji531125:710
3Tahiti530219:69
4Solomon Islands521230:97
5American Samoa50142:361
6Tuvalu50142:421
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games 2019 (Play Offs)