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New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U23
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Zealand U23 play Vanuatu U23 in the OFC Championship U23. It looks like a close match. Recently, New Zealand U23 averaged 4.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. Vanuatu U23 averaged 2.5 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. In past meetings, New Zealand U23 won 1, Vanuatu U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 6, 2023 ended 8:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for New Zealand U23 and 1.50 for Vanuatu U23. This points to a New Zealand U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand U23
6%
Draws
4%
Vanuatu U23
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Vanuatu U23.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for New Zealand U23.
  • Cup tournament structure in OFC Championship U23 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
New Zealand U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Vanuatu U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand U23 Vanuatu U23
Matches Played 26 14
Wins 19 8
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 4.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 4.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2023 OFC Championship U23
New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23
8:0
Jul 10, 2015 Pacific Games
New Zealand U23 vs Vanuatu U23
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Randall J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader van Hattum O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.46
Avg xA / game 2.25

Vanuatu U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand U23 84 / 100
Vanuatu U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand U23 Vanuatu U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Zealand U23 scored in 92% of their last 26 games.

Vanuatu U23 let in goals in 57% of their last 14 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

New Zealand U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Vanuatu U23 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand U23 VS Vanuatu U23
4.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
New Zealand U238
Vanuatu U230
Solomon Islands U230
Fiji U233
Final
New Zealand U239
Fiji U230