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New Zealand W vs Zambia W

World World

Friendly International Women 2024 Stade Louis Darragon, Vichy
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Mweemba L.
46'
Sub
Riley A. In: Barry M.
Out: Riley A.
49' Event
Chileshe R.
Assist: Siamfuko E.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2024 game between New Zealand W and Zambia W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
New Zealand W
6%
Draws
4%
Zambia W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: New Zealand W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • New Zealand W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on New Zealand W taking it.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
New Zealand W Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric New Zealand W Zambia W
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 3.71 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.29 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 3.71 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.29 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2024 Friendly International Women
New Zealand W vs Zambia W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

New Zealand W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.85

Zambia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chileshe R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

New Zealand W 85 / 100
Zambia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
New Zealand W Zambia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZEA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zambia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 27 matches.

New Zealand W scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

New Zealand W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

New Zealand W VS Zambia W
3.71 Goals Scored 0.88
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.75
71% Over 1.5 63%
71% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

New Zealand W

(Home)
09 Jun
New Zealand W
0 : 0
Morocco W
05 Jun
New Zealand W
1 : 2
Haiti W
15 Apr
New Zealand W
1 : 0
Papua New Guinea W
11 Apr
New Zealand W
5 : 0
Fiji W
05 Mar
American Samoa W
0 : 3
New Zealand W
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Zambia W

(Away)
22 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 0
Zambia W
19 Jul
Algeria W
1 : 1
Zambia W
09 Jun
Zambia W
3 : 0
Zimbabwe W
06 Jun
Zambia W
2 : 1
Kenya W
18 Apr
South Korea W
1 : 1
Zambia W
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