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Newcastle Blue Star vs Altrincham

England England

FA Cup 2008/2009
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

Newcastle Blue Star host Altrincham in the FA Cup 2008/2009. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Altrincham have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Newcastle Blue Star have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Newcastle Blue Star have won 0 to Altrincham's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 26, 2008, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.29 - 1.18) back Altrincham to edge this. Altrincham in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Newcastle Blue Star
28%
Draws
50%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Altrincham has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newcastle Blue Star.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Altrincham.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2008/2009 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newcastle Blue Star Clean Sheet 20%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Blue Star Altrincham
Matches Played 6 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 1 5
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 26, 2008 FA Cup
Newcastle Blue Star vs Altrincham
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Blue Star 24 / 100
Altrincham 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Blue Star Altrincham

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Blue Star scored in 80% of their last 5 games.

Altrincham let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Newcastle Blue Star went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Altrincham lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Altrincham
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Chelsea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Luton-
TBD-
Newcastle Blue Star1
Altrincham2
Telford3
Northwich Victoria0
TBD-
Southend-
Chesterfield-
TBD-
York City0
Mansfield1
Darlington FC-
TBD-
Belper Town1
Droylsden2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ipswich-
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dagenham & Red.-
TBD-
TBD-
Hereford-
Stevenage6
Horsham FC3
TBD-
Leicester-
Scunthorpe-
TBD-
TBD-
Walsall-
Bury Town4
Basingstoke1
Retford United1
Alfreton3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Blackburn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Bristol Rovers-
Shrewsbury-
TBD-
Sheffield FC1
Blyth Spartans3
Bolton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Torquay4
Chipstead1
Rushden0
Evesham2
Dorchester1
Stortford0
Hayes & Yeading0
Oxford Utd2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackpool-
Kidderminster5
King’s Lynn1
Boston United2
Cambridge Utd3
Exeter-
TBD-
Hinckley3
Curzon Ashton4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newcastle Utd-
Crewe-
TBD-
Woking2
Ebbsfleet3
Grays2
Totton & Eling0
TBD-
Carlisle-
Aldershot-
TBD-
TBD-
Rotherham-
Chester City-
TBD-
TBD-
Millwall-
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Norwich-
Leyton Orient-
TBD-
TBD-
Colchester-
Milton Keynes Dons-
TBD-
TBD-
Bradford City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheffield Utd-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Peterborough-
TBD-
Weymouth1
Hornchurch2
Accrington-
TBD-
TBD-
Tranmere-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Cardiff-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reading-
Plymouth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southampton-
Wigan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tottenham-
Nottingham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Forest Green4
Ashford Town0
TBD-
Team Bath-
Barnet-
TBD-
TBD-
Rochdale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Derby-
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds-
TBD-
TBD-
Northampton-
Swindon-
TBD-
Durham4
Histon7
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portsmouth-
Kettering3
Burton0
TBD-
Lincoln City-
Sutton1
Aylesbury United0
TBD-
Notts County-
Wycombe-
TBD-
Maidstone0
AFC Wimbledon1
Brackley1
Hampton & Richmond0
Wrexham0
Eastwood2
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fulham-
Middlesbrough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford-
TBD-
Crawley Town0
Havant & Waterlooville3
Eastbourne Borough1
Oxford City0
Tamworth0
Barrow4
Birmingham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wolves-
Hartlepool-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighton-
Leiston4
Lewes2
Nantwich3
Fleetwood Town4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City-
Barnsley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Aston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stockport County-
TBD-
TBD-
Yeovil-
Bury FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Gillingham-
Cheltenham-
TBD-
TBD-
Oldham-
Grimsby-
TBD-
TBD-
Morecambe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Doncaster-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Preston-
Macclesfield-
TBD-
Burgess Hill0
Harlow3
Huddersfield-
TBD-
TBD-
Port Vale-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Everton-
1/128-finals
Chelsea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Luton1
Altrincham0
Telford2
Southend4
Chesterfield3
Mansfield1
Darlington FC0
Droylsden1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ipswich-
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dagenham & Red.2
Hereford1
Stevenage0
Leicester3
Scunthorpe3
Walsall1
Bury Town2
Alfreton4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Watford-
Blackburn-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bournemouth1
Bristol Rovers0
Shrewsbury1
Blyth Spartans3
Bolton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Torquay2
Evesham0
Dorchester1
Oxford Utd3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Blackpool-
Kidderminster1
Cambridge Utd0
Exeter2
Curzon Ashton3
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coventry-
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Newcastle Utd-
Crewe1
Ebbsfleet0
Grays1
Carlisle3
Aldershot4
Rotherham1
Chester City0
Millwall3
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Norwich-
Leyton Orient1
Colchester0
Milton Keynes Dons1
Bradford City2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sheffield Utd-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Peterborough1
Hornchurch0
Accrington0
Tranmere1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Brom-
Cardiff-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Reading-
Plymouth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Southampton-
Wigan-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tottenham-
Nottingham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Forest Green1
Team Bath0
Barnet3
Rochdale4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Derby-
Swansea-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leeds6
Northampton3
Swindon0
Histon1
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Portsmouth-
Kettering3
Lincoln City2
Sutton0
Notts County1
Wycombe4
AFC Wimbledon1
Brackley1
Eastwood2
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Fulham-
Middlesbrough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brentford3
Havant & Waterlooville1
Eastbourne Borough0
Barrow4
Birmingham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Wolves-
Hartlepool5
Brighton4
Leiston0
Fleetwood Town2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stoke City-
Barnsley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Aston Villa-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stockport County6
Yeovil1
Bury FC0
Gillingham1
Cheltenham3
Oldham2
Grimsby1
Morecambe2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Doncaster-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Preston-
Macclesfield2
Harlow0
Huddersfield3
Port Vale4
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Everton-
1/64-finals
Chelsea-
TBD-
Luton1
Southend3
Chesterfield3
Droylsden4
TBD-
Ipswich-
Crystal Palace-
TBD-
Dagenham & Red.2
Leicester3
Scunthorpe4
Alfreton0
TBD-
Watford-
Blackburn-
TBD-
Bournemouth0
Blyth Spartans1
Bolton-
TBD-
TBD-
Sunderland-
Torquay2
Oxford Utd0
TBD-
Blackpool-
Kidderminster2
Curzon Ashton0
TBD-
Coventry-
Hull City-
TBD-
TBD-
Newcastle Utd-
Crewe2
Carlisle0
Aldershot0
Millwall3
Charlton-
TBD-
TBD-
Norwich-
Leyton Orient2
Bradford City1
TBD-
Sheffield Utd-
Burnley-
TBD-
TBD-
QPR-
Peterborough2
Tranmere1
TBD-
West Brom-
Cardiff-
TBD-
TBD-
Reading-
Plymouth-
TBD-
TBD-
Arsenal-
Manchester United-
TBD-
TBD-
Southampton-
Wigan-
TBD-
TBD-
Tottenham-
Nottingham-
TBD-
TBD-
Manchester City-
Forest Green2
Rochdale0
TBD-
Derby-
Swansea-
TBD-
Leeds0
Histon1
Bristol City-
TBD-
TBD-
Portsmouth-
Kettering3
Notts County2
Wycombe0
Eastwood2
Sheffield Wed-
TBD-
TBD-
Fulham-
Middlesbrough-
TBD-
Brentford1
Barrow2
Birmingham-
TBD-
TBD-
Wolves-
Hartlepool3
Fleetwood Town2
TBD-
Stoke City-
Barnsley-
TBD-
TBD-
West Ham-
Aston Villa-
TBD-
Stockport County1
Gillingham2
Cheltenham3
Morecambe2
TBD-
Doncaster-
Liverpool-
TBD-
TBD-
Preston-
Macclesfield3
Port Vale1
TBD-
Everton-
1/32-finals
Chelsea5
Southend2
Chesterfield0
Ipswich3
Crystal Palace2
Leicester1
Scunthorpe0
Watford1
Blackburn1
Blyth Spartans0
Bolton1
Sunderland2
Torquay1
Blackpool0
Kidderminster0
Coventry2
Hull City1
Newcastle Utd0
Crewe4
Millwall5
Charlton2
Norwich1
Leyton Orient1
Sheffield Utd4
Burnley2
QPR1
Peterborough1
West Brom3
Cardiff2
Reading0
Plymouth1
Arsenal3
Manchester United3
Southampton0
Wigan1
Tottenham3
Nottingham3
Manchester City0
Forest Green3
Derby4
Swansea2
Histon1
Bristol City0
Portsmouth2
Kettering2
Eastwood1
Sheffield Wed1
Fulham2
Middlesbrough2
Barrow1
Birmingham0
Wolves2
Hartlepool2
Stoke City0
Barnsley0
West Ham3
Aston Villa2
Gillingham1
Cheltenham0
Doncaster3
Liverpool2
Preston0
Macclesfield0
Everton1
1/16-finals
Chelsea3
Ipswich1
Crystal Palace3
Watford4
Blackburn2
Sunderland1
Torquay0
Coventry1
Hull City2
Millwall0
Charlton1
Sheffield Utd2
Burnley5
West Brom3
Cardiff0
Arsenal4
Manchester United2
Tottenham1
Nottingham3
Derby4
Swansea2
Portsmouth0
Kettering2
Fulham4
Middlesbrough2
Wolves1
Hartlepool0
West Ham2
Aston Villa3
Doncaster1
Liverpool1
Everton2
1/8-finals
Chelsea3
Watford1
Blackburn2
Coventry3
Hull City3
Sheffield Utd2
Burnley0
Arsenal3
Manchester United4
Derby1
Swansea2
Fulham3
Middlesbrough3
West Ham1
Aston Villa1
Everton3
Quarter-finals
Chelsea2
Coventry0
Hull City1
Arsenal2
Manchester United4
Fulham0
Middlesbrough1
Everton2
Semi-finals
Chelsea2
Arsenal1
Manchester United0
Everton1
Final
Chelsea2
Everton1