Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Croatia vs Wallsend Red Devils

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Lake Macquarie Regional Football Facility, Speers Point
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
McGuinness J.
13' Event
Newton B.
21' Event
Ryan B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 6-6.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Newcastle Croatia
20%
Draws
33%
Wallsend Red Devils
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Croatia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Wallsend Red Devils lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Croatia.
  • Wallsend Red Devils are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Wallsend Red Devils arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Croatia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 85.80000000000001%
Newcastle Croatia Clean Sheet 10%
Wallsend Red Devils Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Croatia Wallsend Red Devils
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 12 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2.62 2.8
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Wallsend Red Devils vs Newcastle Croatia
2:3
Aug 22, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Croatia vs Wallsend Red Devils
6:6
Aug 15, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Newcastle Croatia vs Wallsend Red Devils
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Wallsend Red Devils vs Newcastle Croatia
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Croatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Sato Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader McGuinness J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Wallsend Red Devils Compare

Top Goalscorer Ryan B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Newton B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Croatia 22 / 100
Wallsend Red Devils 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Croatia Wallsend Red Devils

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Wallsend Red Devils Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Croatia found the back of the net in 95% of recent matches (21 games).

Wallsend Red Devils has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.75 goals per match.

Newcastle Croatia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Croatia VS Wallsend Red Devils
2.88 Goals Scored 4
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Croatia

(Home)
05 Sept
Kahibah
2 : 1
Newcastle Croatia
30 Aug
Wallsend Red Devils
2 : 3
Newcastle Croatia
22 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
6 : 6
Wallsend Red Devils
15 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
3 : 1
Wallsend Red Devils
08 Aug
Cessnock City Hornets
1 : 2
Newcastle Croatia
Page 1 of 5

Wallsend Red Devils

(Away)
30 Aug
Wallsend Red Devils
2 : 3
Newcastle Croatia
22 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
6 : 6
Wallsend Red Devils
15 Aug
Newcastle Croatia
3 : 1
Wallsend Red Devils
09 Aug
Wallsend Red Devils
7 : 0
West Wallsend FC
02 Aug
South Cardiff
1 : 4
Wallsend Red Devils
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Kahibah 5
New Lambton 1
Wallsend Red Devils 8
Newcastle Croatia 9
Final
Kahibah 2
Newcastle Croatia 1