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Newcastle Jets U23 vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Australia Australia

NSW League One 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Jets U23 play Bonnyrigg White Eagles in the NSW League One 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newcastle Jets U23 averaged 2.07 goals scored and 2.17 conceded. Bonnyrigg White Eagles averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Jets U23 won 2, Bonnyrigg White Eagles won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2025 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.92 for Newcastle Jets U23 and 1.44 for Bonnyrigg White Eagles. This points to a Newcastle Jets U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Newcastle Jets U23
27%
Draws
27%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Newcastle Jets U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Newcastle Jets U23 picked up more points recently compared to Bonnyrigg White Eagles.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.92 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Newcastle Jets U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Bonnyrigg White Eagles Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Jets U23 Bonnyrigg White Eagles
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.07 1.27
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2025 NSW League One
Newcastle Jets U23 vs Bonnyrigg White Eagles
4:1
Apr 12, 2025 NSW League One
Bonnyrigg White Eagles vs Newcastle Jets U23
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Jets U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafty J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Debono E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Bonnyrigg White Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendy C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Jets U23 45 / 100
Bonnyrigg White Eagles 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Jets U23 Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Newcastle Jets U23 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newcastle Jets U23 attacking → ← attacking Bonnyrigg White Eagles

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Jets U23 scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Bonnyrigg White Eagles let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.50 goals.

Newcastle Jets U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bonnyrigg White Eagles lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 28
2.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UNSW30178557:3159
2SD Raiders30184852:3358
3Blacktown Spartans301731052:4554
4Rydalmere Lions30156964:4451
5Newcastle Jets U2330157872:4949
6Northern Tigers301541157:3749
7Inter Lions301361144:3845
8Bulls Academy301110946:4743
9Hills United301151442:4138
10Bankstown City Lions FC301141538:4537
11Hakoah Sydney30981353:6335
12Canterbury Bankstown FC307131036:4434
13Dulwich Hill30941737:6731
14Macarthur Rams30781526:5029
15Bonnyrigg White Eagles30771638:5828
16Mounties Wanderers FC30671730:5225