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Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW Darling Street Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Bradbury K.
(Penalty)
16' Event
Niyonkuru A.
22' Event
Cordwell S.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Olympic host Edgeworth Eagles FC in the NPL Northern NSW. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Newcastle Olympic at 1.88 goals for, 2 against; Edgeworth Eagles FC at 2.13 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, Newcastle Olympic have won 0 to Edgeworth Eagles FC's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 2.06) point toward Edgeworth Eagles FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newcastle Olympic
33%
Draws
27%
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newcastle Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Edgeworth Eagles FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newcastle Olympic.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Newcastle Olympic.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
Edgeworth Eagles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Olympic Edgeworth Eagles FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.13
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Newcastle Olympic
3:0
May 25, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Newcastle Olympic
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Lachman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toby N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Edgeworth Eagles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Niyonkuru A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cordwell S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 38 / 100
Edgeworth Eagles FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Olympic Edgeworth Eagles FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Olympic scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Edgeworth Eagles FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Newcastle Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Edgeworth Eagles FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Olympic VS Edgeworth Eagles FC
1.88 Goals Scored 2.13
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC17114247:2137
2Belmont Swansea United1795340:3032
3Weston Workers Bears1793534:2930
4Maitland1793533:2830
5Edgeworth Eagles FC1785434:2929
6Cooks Hill United1875636:3126
7Lambton Jaffas FC1864835:2922
8Newcastle Olympic1746732:3018
9Adamstown Rosebud1845925:3617
10Valentine1744915:3416
11Kahibah16421024:3814
12Charlestown Azzurri17421124:4414