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Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC

Australia Australia

NPL Northern NSW 2025 Darling Street Oval
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Lachman W.
64' Event
Atayde J.
71' Event
Goodman F.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Olympic host Edgeworth Eagles FC in the NPL Northern NSW 2025. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Newcastle Olympic at 2.13 goals for, 1.5 against; Edgeworth Eagles FC at 2 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Edgeworth Eagles FC slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.75) point toward Edgeworth Eagles FC. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Newcastle Olympic
33%
Draws
27%
Edgeworth Eagles FC
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Newcastle Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Edgeworth Eagles FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newcastle Olympic.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Newcastle Olympic.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in NPL Northern NSW 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newcastle Olympic Clean Sheet 12%
Edgeworth Eagles FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Olympic Edgeworth Eagles FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 10 5
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2.13 2
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
3:3
Jul 20, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
2:3
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Newcastle Olympic
3:0
May 25, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Edgeworth Eagles FC vs Newcastle Olympic
4:0
Mar 2, 2024 NPL Northern NSW
Newcastle Olympic vs Edgeworth Eagles FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Lachman W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodway J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Edgeworth Eagles FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Atayde J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goodman F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Olympic 38 / 100
Edgeworth Eagles FC 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Olympic Edgeworth Eagles FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Olympic scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Edgeworth Eagles FC let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Newcastle Olympic went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Edgeworth Eagles FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Olympic VS Edgeworth Eagles FC
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Broadmeadow Magic FC22192150:1859
2Edgeworth Eagles FC22172350:1553
3Weston Workers Bears22162461:2550
4Lambton Jaffas FC2296737:2933
5Maitland2295842:4132
6Newcastle Olympic2287747:3831
7Charlestown Azzurri22661032:3424
8Adamstown Rosebud22721333:4723
9Cooks Hill United22721326:4723
10Belmont Swansea United22481034:4520
11Valentine22441428:6016
12New Lambton22141721:627