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Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League U18
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
3 - 0
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Seldon A.
Assist: Koussou J.
45' Event
Alabi S.
75' Event
Hutchison A.

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U18 host Burnley U18 in the Premier League U18. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Newcastle Utd U18 at 2.07 goals for, 1.8 against; Burnley U18 at 2.13 for, 2.37 against. Past meetings favor Burnley U18 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (2.69 - 1.88) back Newcastle Utd U18 to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Newcastle Utd U18
20%
Draws
32%
Burnley U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd U18 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Newcastle Utd U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Burnley U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U18 Burnley U18
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 2.07 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.8 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
1:3
Mar 5, 2022 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:0
Aug 14, 2021 Premier League U18
Newcastle Utd U18 vs Burnley U18
3:8
Mar 20, 2021 Premier League U18
Burnley U18 vs Newcastle Utd U18
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Seldon A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alabi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Burnley U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U18 83 / 100
Burnley U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U18 Burnley U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U18 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Burnley U18's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd U18 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U18 VS Burnley U18
3.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Sunderland U18
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd U18
12 Sept
Newcastle Utd U18
0 : 2
Manchester United U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
29 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
6 : 1
Blackburn U18
22 Aug
Newcastle Utd U18
3 : 2
Stoke City U18
Page 1 of 6

Burnley U18

(Away)
19 Sept
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Nottingham U18
12 Sept
Liverpool U18
4 : 2
Burnley U18
05 Sept
Leeds U18
1 : 3
Burnley U18
29 Aug
Burnley U18
2 : 2
Sunderland U18
22 Aug
Derby U18
1 : 4
Burnley U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U18 6 6 0 0 26:8 18
2 Newcastle Utd U18 6 5 0 1 19:7 15
3 Manchester United U18 5 4 0 1 16:1 12
4 Nottingham U18 5 3 1 1 15:4 10
5 Liverpool U18 5 2 2 1 14:11 8
6 Burnley U18 6 2 2 2 13:11 8
7 Middlesbrough U18 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
8 Derby U18 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
9 Everton U18 5 2 0 3 11:12 6
10 Leeds U18 5 2 0 3 8:16 6
11 Blackburn U18 5 2 0 3 5:20 6
12 Stoke City U18 6 1 1 4 11:18 4
13 Leicester U18 4 0 2 2 6:11 2
14 Sunderland U18 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
15 Wolves U18 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham U18 6 5 1 0 33:9 16
2 Chelsea U18 7 5 0 2 28:10 15
3 Southampton U18 6 4 0 2 21:12 12
4 Fulham U18 6 3 3 0 23:15 12
5 Arsenal U18 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
6 West Ham U18 6 3 1 2 16:15 10
7 Brighton U18 6 3 1 2 15:17 10
8 Ipswich U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
9 Brentford U18 6 3 0 3 15:15 9
10 Aston Villa U18 6 2 2 2 15:13 8
11 West Brom U18 6 2 1 3 5:14 7
12 Norwich U18 6 2 0 4 13:22 6
13 Bournemouth U18 6 1 2 3 14:22 5
14 Crystal Palace U18 6 1 1 4 9:15 4
15 Reading U18 7 1 1 5 9:25 4
16 Birmingham U18 6 1 0 5 6:22 3
Promotion - Premier League U18 (Play Offs)