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Newcastle Utd U21 vs Benfica B Prediction & H2H Stats

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Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
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Match Events

10' Event
Tome O.
Assist: Dumas J.
20' Event
Martins L.
Assist: Pinto K.
51' Event
Moreira G.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-5, with Benfica B advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Newcastle Utd U21
15%
Draws
59%
Benfica B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd U21 haven't matched Benfica B's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Benfica B arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Benfica B, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U21 Benfica B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.96 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 13, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Benfica B
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Benfica B Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreira G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Tome O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 30 / 100
Benfica B 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U21 Benfica B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Benfica B has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Newcastle Utd U21 found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Newcastle Utd U21 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Benfica B
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
15 Sept
York City
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd U21
08 Sept
Boreham Wood
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 6

Benfica B

(Away)
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Benfica B
0 : 2
Torreense
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
21 Aug
Benfica B
1 : 1
Portimonense
15 Aug
Leiria
1 : 2
Benfica B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)