Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Brighton U21
England
Premier League 2 2025/2026 Northumberland FA, Newcastle 
Match Events
4'
4'
West A.
24'
24'
Bailey S.
29'
29'
Thompson C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brighton U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Brighton U21 have won more games recently than Newcastle Utd U21.
- Brighton U21 are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Regular Premier League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd U21 | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 27, 2026 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Brighton U21
2:2
Sep 23, 2023 Premier League 2
Brighton U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:1
Apr 11, 2016 Premier League U21
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Brighton U21
1:4
Mar 23, 2016 Premier League U21
Brighton U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:1
Mar 16, 2015 Premier League U21
Brighton U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Neave S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Oriola N.
1 Goals Assists Leader Belmont J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd U21 26 / 100
Brighton U21 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd U21 Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Newcastle Utd U21 scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Defensive concern: Brighton U21 conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Newcastle Utd U21 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd U21 VS Brighton U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd U21
(Home) 27 Apr
Swansea U21
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1 Wolves U21
10 Apr
Manchester United U21
1 : 3 Newcastle Utd U21
20 Mar
Nottingham U21
3 : 0 Newcastle Utd U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0 Blackburn U21
Page 1 of 6
13 Apr
Newcastle Utd U21
1 : 1 Wolves U21
13 Mar
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 0 Blackburn U21
27 Feb
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 2 Brighton U21
20 Feb
Newcastle Utd U21
3 : 0 Fulham U21
13 Jan
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 5 Benfica B
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U21
(Away) 14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0 Millwall U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
16 May
Brighton U21
1 : 0 Manchester United U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
04 May
Brighton U21
3 : 0 West Ham U21
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28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
24 Apr
Ipswich U21
1 : 2 Brighton U21
16 Mar
Burnley U21
0 : 2 Brighton U21
27 Feb
Newcastle Utd U21
2 : 2 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Professional Development League 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
