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Newcastle Utd U21 vs Sunderland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 Northumberland FA, Newcastle
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U21 host Sunderland U21 in the Premier League 2. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Sunderland U21 have shipped 1.87 goals a game lately, while Newcastle Utd U21 have conceded 1.93 and scored 1.27. Past meetings favor Newcastle Utd U21 slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 16, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 2.50, favoring Sunderland U21. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Newcastle Utd U21
15%
Draws
46%
Sunderland U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sunderland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd U21.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd U21's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Newcastle Utd U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Sunderland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U21 Sunderland U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.27 2.26
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
1:1
Aug 19, 2024 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:1
Mar 18, 2024 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:3
Jan 30, 2023 Premier League 2
Sunderland U21 vs Newcastle Utd U21
2:1
Oct 31, 2022 Premier League 2
Newcastle Utd U21 vs Sunderland U21
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U21 65 / 100
Sunderland U21 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U21 Sunderland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sunderland U21 let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Newcastle Utd U21's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Newcastle Utd U21 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U21 VS Sunderland U21
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U21

(Home)
13 Oct
Hartlepool
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U21
09 Oct
Newcastle Utd U21
4 : 1
Luton U21
06 Oct
Solihull Moors
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
22 Sept
Bradford City
2 : 1
Newcastle Utd U21
19 Sept
Leeds U21
2 : 0
Newcastle Utd U21
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Sunderland U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Arsenal U21
2 : 2
Sunderland U21
06 Oct
Sheffield Wed
2 : 0
Sunderland U21
22 Sept
Accrington
4 : 3
Sunderland U21
18 Sept
Sunderland U21
3 : 1
Norwich U21
11 Sept
Sunderland U21
4 : 2
Ipswich U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelsea U21 5 4 0 1 15:9 12
2 Nottingham U21 5 4 0 1 10:9 12
3 Tottenham U21 4 3 1 0 13:7 10
4 Liverpool U21 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
5 Southampton U21 4 3 1 0 7:2 10
6 Sunderland U21 5 3 1 1 15:11 10
7 Norwich U21 5 3 1 1 10:7 10
8 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
9 Bournemouth U21 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
10 Everton U21 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
11 Aston Villa U21 5 2 2 1 8:8 8
12 Fulham U21 4 2 1 1 12:9 7
13 Leeds U21 4 2 1 1 11:9 7
14 Reading U21 5 2 1 2 7:7 7
15 Brentford U21 4 2 0 2 10:8 6
16 West Ham U21 5 1 2 2 7:9 5
17 Stoke City U21 5 1 1 3 8:7 4
18 Crystal Palace U21 3 1 1 1 3:2 4
19 Brighton U21 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
20 Derby U21 4 1 1 2 9:12 4
21 Arsenal U21 5 0 4 1 6:9 4
22 Manchester City U21 3 1 0 2 7:6 3
23 Burnley U21 5 1 0 4 8:10 3
24 Blackburn U21 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
25 Ipswich U21 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
26 Birmingham U21 3 0 2 1 5:7 2
27 Middlesbrough U21 5 0 2 3 8:12 2
28 West Brom U21 3 0 1 2 8:11 1
29 Leicester U21 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
30 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
31 Wolves U21 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
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