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Newcastle Utd U23 vs Scunthorpe U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

Premier League Cup 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Allan T.
20' Event
Allan T.
42' Event
Anderson E.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 6-2, with Newcastle Utd U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Newcastle Utd U23
20%
Draws
32%
Scunthorpe U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd U23 come out ahead of Scunthorpe U23 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Newcastle Utd U23 a 48% chance of winning this.
  • Newcastle Utd U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle Utd U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Scunthorpe U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd U23 Scunthorpe U23
Matches Played 32 8
Wins 14 2
Draws 3 2
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.94 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2020 Premier League Cup
Newcastle Utd U23 vs Scunthorpe U23
6:2
Nov 29, 2019 Premier League Cup
Scunthorpe U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Allan T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Scunthorpe U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hornshaw G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El-Mhanni B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U23 40 / 100
Scunthorpe U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd U23 Scunthorpe U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U23's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Scunthorpe U23 let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Difficult form: Scunthorpe U23 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U23 VS -
2 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd U23

(Home)
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
18 Apr
Wolves U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
08 Apr
Burnley U23
5 : 1
Newcastle Utd U23
01 Apr
Middlesbrough U23
4 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 7

Scunthorpe U23

(Away)
25 Feb
Hull City U23
0 : 0
Scunthorpe U23
21 Feb
Newcastle Utd U23
6 : 2
Scunthorpe U23
13 Feb
West Brom U23
3 : 0
Scunthorpe U23
03 Feb
Scunthorpe U23
2 : 3
Hull City U23
29 Nov
Scunthorpe U23
3 : 3
Newcastle Utd U23
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:10 10
2 Reading U23 6 2 4 0 10:8 10
3 Colchester U23 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 Swansea U23 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 1 1 14:5 13
2 Fulham U23 6 3 0 3 13:11 9
3 Watford U23 6 2 1 3 7:11 7
4 Plymouth U23 6 1 2 3 6:13 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 0 2 8:4 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 12:7 11
3 Hull City U23 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
4 Scunthorpe U23 6 0 2 4 7:17 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter U23 6 4 2 0 14:5 14
2 Doncaster U23 6 4 1 1 12:5 13
3 Aston Villa U23 6 2 0 4 9:12 6
4 Portsmouth U23 6 0 1 5 5:18 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bournemouth U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Southampton U23 6 1 1 4 8:13 4
4 Nottingham U23 6 1 1 4 3:12 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Wigan U23 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Huddersfield U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Sunderland U23 6 1 1 4 5:14 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Blackburn U23 6 4 1 1 12:8 13
2 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 2 1 14:8 11
3 Burnley U23 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Crystal Palace U23 6 0 2 4 5:14 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 0 2 18:7 12
2 Wolves U23 6 2 3 1 10:10 9
3 Birmingham U23 6 2 2 2 7:9 8
4 Leeds U23 6 0 3 3 5:14 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2019/2020 (Play Offs)