Sport Picks

England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022

Watford U23

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newcastle Utd U23 play Watford U23 in the Premier League Cup 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newcastle Utd U23 averaged 1.75 goals scored and 3.13 conceded. Watford U23 averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, Newcastle Utd U23 won 1, Watford U23 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 10, 2021 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Newcastle Utd U23 and 2.19 for Watford U23. This points to a Newcastle Utd U23 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%

Newcastle Utd U23

22%

Draws

60%

Watford U23

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Watford U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Newcastle Utd U23 has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Watford U23.
Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Watford U23.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League Cup 2021/2022 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Newcastle Utd U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Watford U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle Utd U23	Watford U23
Matches Played	33	31
Wins	14	8
Draws	3	8
Losses	16	15
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	3.13	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.13	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2021 Premier League Cup

Newcastle Utd U23 vs Watford U23

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

2:1

Sep 6, 2021 Premier League Cup

Watford U23 vs Newcastle Utd U23

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Stephenson D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader De Bolle L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Watford U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer McKiernan J. J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd U23 18 / 100

Watford U23 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Utd U23 Watford U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WAT Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd U23 scored in 82% of their last 33 games.

Watford U23 let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Newcastle Utd U23 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Watford U23 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd U23 VS Watford U23

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Brom U23	6	4	1	1	18:8	13
2	Arsenal U23	6	2	2	2	11:12	8
3	Bournemouth U23	6	2	2	2	8:9	8
4	Southampton U23	6	0	3	3	7:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Middlesbrough U23	6	3	3	13:10	9
2	QPR U23	6	3	3	15:14	9
3	Blackburn U23	6	3	3	16:16	9
4	Nottingham U23	6	3	3	13:17	9

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Derby U23	6	5	1	0	17:9	16
2	Charlton U23	6	3	1	2	14:6	10
3	Norwich U23	6	1	2	3	12:16	5
4	Reading U23	6	1	0	5	6:18	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Peterborough U23	6	3	1	2	13:8	10
2	Sheffield Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:10	10
3	Everton U23	6	3	0	3	8:9	9
4	Burnley U23	6	2	0	4	8:11	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Wigan U23	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Leeds U23	6	2	2	2	10:10	8
3	Sunderland U23	6	1	3	2	9:13	6
4	Mansfield U23	6	1	2	3	7:9	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	West Ham U23	6	4	1	1	11:5	13
2	Wolves U23	6	3	2	1	8:6	11
3	Exeter U23	6	1	2	3	9:12	5
4	Swansea U23	6	0	3	3	7:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Huddersfield U23	6	5	1	0	17:3	16
2	Newcastle Utd U23	6	3	1	2	9:6	10
3	Watford U23	6	2	0	4	7:15	6
4	Birmingham U23	6	1	0	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Fulham U23	6	5	1	0	14:4	16
2	Stoke City U23	6	3	0	3	15:11	9
3	Colchester U23	6	1	2	3	8:10	5
4	Southend U23	6	1	1	4	4:16	4