Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
9'
9'
Tavernier M.
28'
28'
Elanga A.
35'
35'
Thiaw M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Newcastle Utd and Bournemouth finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bournemouth
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Bournemouth come out ahead of Newcastle Utd on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Bournemouth's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 2.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.79 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
4:3
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnes H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramsey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
Bournemouth 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bournemouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Bournemouth has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Solid form: Newcastle Utd remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Bournemouth
0.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 02 Nov
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Everton
29 Oct
Everton
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd
25 Oct
Crystal Palace
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
02 Nov
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Everton
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1 Aston Villa
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
Page 1 of 3
Bournemouth
(Away) 05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3 Bournemouth
31 Oct
Bournemouth
2 : 0 Leeds
28 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 Aston Villa
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
22 Oct
Bournemouth
3 : 0 AC Milan
Page 1 of 6
05 Nov
Sparta Prague
1 : 3 Bournemouth
25 Oct
Manchester United
0 : 3 Bournemouth
10 Oct
Chelsea
5 : 1 Bournemouth
17 Sept
Real Sociedad
1 : 2 Bournemouth
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 14:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 3 | Brighton | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 16 |
| 5 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 15 |
| 7 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 16:9 | 14 |
| 8 | Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hull City | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Leeds | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 13 | Newcastle Utd | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:18 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:11 | 9 |
| 16 | Coventry | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:15 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:21 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7:17 | 5 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
