Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
England
Premier League St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
9'
9'
Tavernier M.
28'
28'
Elanga A.
35'
35'
Thiaw M.
Own Goal
AI Match Summary
The Premier League game between Newcastle Utd and Bournemouth finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
35%
24%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newcastle Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Newcastle Utd have managed 1.6 goals a game lately — Bournemouth are scoring more at 2.11.
- Win probability leans Newcastle Utd's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Bournemouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 14 |
| Losses | 14 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.6 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.9 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
2:2
Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:2
Jan 10, 2026 FA Cup
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
4:3
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Bournemouth vs Newcastle Utd
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Bournemouth
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Barnes H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ramsey J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Bournemouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Tavernier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 38 / 100
Bournemouth 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd Bournemouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 7:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Bournemouth has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Newcastle Utd remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS Bournemouth
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
15 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Bayer Leverkusen
Page 1 of 4
Bournemouth
(Away) 12 Sept
Bournemouth
2 : 2 Brentford
08 Sept
Bournemouth
4 : 0 Lincoln City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Everton
23 Aug
Manchester City
2 : 1 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
23 Aug
Manchester City
2 : 1 Bournemouth
15 Aug
Mainz
2 : 1 Bournemouth
08 Aug
Betis
2 : 2 Bournemouth
30 Jul
Augsburg
2 : 5 Bournemouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 12 |
| 3 | Leeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 4 | Hull City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
| 5 | Brighton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 7 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 7 |
| 7 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 14 | Sunderland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:5 | 2 |
| 18 | Fulham | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 1 |
| 19 | Aston Villa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:7 | 1 |
| 20 | Coventry | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
