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Newcastle Utd vs Darlington FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Willock J.
35' Event
Osula W.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Neave S.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Newcastle Utd and Darlington FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Newcastle Utd
30%
Draws
23%
Darlington FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newcastle Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Newcastle Utd carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Newcastle Utd here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Darlington FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd Darlington FC
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.5 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Darlington FC
3:0
Jul 15, 2011 Club Friendly
Darlington FC vs Newcastle Utd
0:2
Jul 18, 2009 Club Friendly
Darlington FC vs Newcastle Utd
2:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Willock J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neave S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Darlington FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 30 / 100
Darlington FC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd Darlington FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Darlington FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Newcastle Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd VS Darlington FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd

(Home)
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2
Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2
Newcastle Utd
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Darlington FC

(Away)
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
03 Oct
Morecambe
3 : 0
Darlington FC
26 Sept
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Hebburn Town
19 Sept
Redcar Town
2 : 4
Darlington FC
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1
Darlington FC
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