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Newcastle Utd vs Everton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Murrayfield, Edinburgh
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Barry T.
Assist: Armstrong H.
36' Event
Ndiaye I.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Osula W. In: Woltemade N.
Out: Osula W.

AI Match Summary

Everton in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Everton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Newcastle Utd
20%
Draws
46%
Everton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Everton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Everton lately — more wins on the board than Newcastle Utd.
  • Everton are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 14%
Everton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd Everton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.43 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
1:3
Feb 28, 2026 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
1:4
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Newcastle Utd vs Everton
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Everton vs Newcastle Utd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Barnes H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Everton Compare

Top Goalscorer Barry T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader George T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd 23 / 100
Everton 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd Everton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Everton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Everton has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Newcastle Utd has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd VS Everton
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd

(Home)
17 Oct
Newcastle Utd
0 : 1
Aston Villa
12 Oct
Coventry
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1
Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1
Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd
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Everton

(Away)
17 Oct
Everton
0 : 2
Chelsea
11 Oct
Hull City
2 : 2
Everton
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
16 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Wolves
12 Sept
Tottenham
0 : 0
Everton
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