Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd vs PSV
Europe
Champions League 2025/2026 St. James' Park, Newcastle 
Match Events
8'
8'
Wissa Y.
Assist: Joelinton
26'
26'
Bruno Guimaraes
30'
30'
Gordon A.
Assist: Wissa Y.
AI Match Summary
The Champions League 2025/2026 game between Newcastle Utd and PSV finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Newcastle Utd haven't matched PSV's recent run of results.
- Model gives PSV a 40% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.80000000000001%
Newcastle Utd Clean Sheet 10%
PSV Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd | PSV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 19 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.53 | 2.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.83 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 2.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 21, 2026 Champions League
Newcastle Utd vs PSV
3:0
Jul 31, 2010 Club Friendly
Newcastle Utd vs PSV
2:2
Apr 14, 2004 Europa League
Newcastle Utd vs PSV
2:1
Apr 8, 2004 Europa League
PSV vs Newcastle Utd
1:1
Nov 5, 1997 Champions League
Newcastle Utd vs PSV
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Wissa Y.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gordon A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
PSV Compare
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd 10 / 100
PSV 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd PSV
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick PSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
PSV's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Newcastle Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd VS PSV
1.75 Goals Scored 2.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
14 Sept
Leeds
4 : 1 Newcastle Utd
08 Sept
Millwall
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
29 Aug
Tottenham
0 : 2 Newcastle Utd
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 1 Hull City
05 Sept
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Bournemouth
26 Aug
Newcastle Utd
3 : 2 West Brom
23 Aug
Newcastle Utd
2 : 2 Liverpool
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd
1 : 2 Strasbourg
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PSV
(Away) 20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
13 Sept
PSV
4 : 1 Sparta Rotterdam
10 Sept
PSV
1 : 1 Shakhtar
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Twente
3 : 2 PSV
05 Sept
Ajax
1 : 3 PSV
30 Aug
Utrecht
1 : 6 PSV
15 Aug
Excelsior
1 : 2 PSV
10 May
G.A. Eagles
1 : 4 PSV
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting CP | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atl. Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag Agdam | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Royale Union SG | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Ath Bilbao | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - Champions League 2025/2026 (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
