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Newcastle Utd W vs Leicester W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Wardlaw C.
Assist: McGovern K.
16'
Wardlaw C.
55'
Sub
McGovern K. In: Nobbs J.
Out: McGovern K.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Newcastle Utd W and Leicester W finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Newcastle Utd W
15%
Draws
17%
Leicester W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Leicester W haven't matched Newcastle Utd W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newcastle Utd W a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Newcastle Utd W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Leicester W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 22
Goals Scored 1.68 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Leicester W
4:0
May 14, 2017 Women's National League North
Leicester W vs Newcastle Utd W
6:0
Oct 30, 2016 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Leicester W
1:0
Apr 21, 2013 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Leicester W
5:1
Sep 16, 2012 Women's National League North
Leicester W vs Newcastle Utd W
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wardlaw C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Leicester W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 85 / 100
Leicester W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Leicester W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leicester W conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Newcastle Utd W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd W VS Leicester W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd W

(Home)
04 Oct
Durham W
0 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
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Leicester W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
23 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
20 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 1
Ipswich W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)