Sport Picks
Newcastle Utd W vs Manchester City W Prediction & H2H Stats
England
Women's League Cup 2025/2026 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead 
Match Events
11'
11'
Joel L.
Assist: Murphy E.
45'
45'
Boddy E.
45'
45'
Coombs L.
Assist: Beney I.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-4, with Manchester City W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newcastle Utd W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Newcastle Utd W haven't matched Manchester City W's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle Utd W taking it.
- Manchester City W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Manchester City W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Manchester City W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 15%
Manchester City W Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newcastle Utd W | Manchester City W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 21 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 3 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 2.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 19, 2025 Women's League Cup
Newcastle Utd W vs Manchester City W
3:4
Apr 10, 2011 Women's National League North
Manchester City W vs Newcastle Utd W
4:0
Oct 31, 2010 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Manchester City W
0:4
Feb 7, 2010 Women's National League North
Manchester City W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:2
Sep 27, 2009 Women's National League North
Newcastle Utd W vs Manchester City W
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newcastle Utd W Compare
Top Goalscorer Joel L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gregory F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Manchester City W Compare
Top Goalscorer Coombs L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Hasegawa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newcastle Utd W 39 / 100
Manchester City W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newcastle Utd W Manchester City W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newcastle Utd W found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Newcastle Utd W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Manchester City W conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Newcastle Utd W VS Manchester City W
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newcastle Utd W
(Home) 30 Sept
Aston Villa W
3 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0 Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1 Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1 Newcastle Utd W
06 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
2 : 0 Wolverhampton W
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0 Leicester W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1 Sheffield Utd W
06 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
2 : 0 Wolverhampton W
30 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
3 : 1 Burnley W
16 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
0 : 2 Inter W
Page 1 of 4
Manchester City W
(Away) 01 Oct
Manchester City W
1 : 1 Real Madrid W
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1 Manchester City W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2 Manchester City W
18 Sept
Manchester City W
4 : 2 Liverpool W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Charlton W
0 : 1 Manchester City W
22 Sept
Bayern Munich W
2 : 2 Manchester City W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4 Manchester City W
08 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 1 Manchester City W
31 May
Brighton W
0 : 4 Manchester City W
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Everton W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 3 | Nottingham W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Newcastle Utd W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 |
| 2 | Sheffield Utd W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 5 |
| 3 | Durham W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Sunderland W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | 2 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Charlton W | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Brighton W | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 4 | Portsmouth W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 3 |
| 5 | Southampton FC W | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:10 | 3 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crystal Palace W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Leicester W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 3 | London City Lionesses W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Ipswich W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tottenham W | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Aston Villa W | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:3 | 5 |
| 3 | Birmingham W | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Bristol City W | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
