Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Newcastle Utd W vs Sheffield Utd W

England England

WSL 2 Gateshead International Stadium, Gateshead
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Lumsden B.
Assist: Thomas M.
18' Event
Torpey K.
Assist: Lambert M.
32' Event
Quinn Lu.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Newcastle Utd W and Sheffield Utd W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newcastle Utd W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Newcastle Utd W
15%
Draws
0%
Sheffield Utd W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle Utd W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newcastle Utd W come out ahead of Sheffield Utd W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newcastle Utd W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular WSL 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Newcastle Utd W Clean Sheet 20%
Sheffield Utd W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Utd W Sheffield Utd W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 1.19 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sheffield Utd W
4:1
Mar 14, 2026 WSL 2
Sheffield Utd W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sheffield Utd W
1:1
Jan 19, 2025 WSL 2
Sheffield Utd W vs Newcastle Utd W
1:1
Sep 22, 2024 WSL 2
Newcastle Utd W vs Sheffield Utd W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newcastle Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomas M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lumsden B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Sheffield Utd W Compare

Top Goalscorer Quinn Lu.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle Utd W 85 / 100
Sheffield Utd W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Utd W Sheffield Utd W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Utd W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle Utd W scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Sheffield Utd W let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Newcastle Utd W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Sheffield Utd W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle Utd W VS Sheffield Utd W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 4.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle Utd W

(Home)
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
12 Sept
Bristol City W
0 : 1
Newcastle Utd W
06 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
2 : 0
Wolverhampton W
30 Aug
Newcastle Utd W
3 : 1
Burnley W
23 Aug
Valencia W
2 : 3
Newcastle Utd W
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Sheffield Utd W

(Away)
23 Sept
Manchester United W
10 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
20 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
13 Sept
Wolverhampton W
3 : 1
Sheffield Utd W
06 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 1
Leicester W
08 Aug
Liverpool W
5 : 0
Sheffield Utd W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Sunderland W 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Wolverhampton W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
4 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
5 Southampton FC W 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
6 Nottingham W 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Ipswich W 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
8 Bristol City W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
9 Watford W 3 0 2 1 3:7 2
10 Burnley W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
11 Durham W 3 0 0 3 4:9 0
12 Sheffield Utd W 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)