Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010

Newcastle

4 - 0

Ardstraw

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Newcastle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Newcastle

15%

Draws

51%

Ardstraw

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ardstraw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Ardstraw haven't matched Newcastle's recent run of results.
Model gives Ardstraw a 51% chance of winning this.
Newcastle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 100%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 69%

Over 4.5 Goals 31%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%

Newcastle Clean Sheet 10%

Ardstraw Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle	Ardstraw
Matches Played	17	14
Wins	8	7
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	2.29	3.29
Goals Conceded	2.59	2.93
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2009 Irish Cup

Newcastle vs Ardstraw

4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle 14 / 100

Ardstraw 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Ardstraw

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ardstraw Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ardstraw's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Newcastle scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Newcastle went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle VS Ardstraw

1.5 Goals Scored 3.75

2.13 Goals Conceded 3.25

100% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 100%

50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

(Home)

28 Sept

Newcastle

0 : 5

Banbridge

17 Aug

Grove

2 : 4

Newcastle

18 Aug

Bangor Amateurs FC

3 : 2

Newcastle

02 Dec

Dundela

5 : 0

Newcastle

04 Nov

Newcastle

3 : 0

Rathfriland Rangers

Page 1 of 4

Ardstraw

(Away)

02 Nov

Ardstraw

1 : 2

Islandmagee

28 Sept

Ardstraw

4 : 1

Wakehurst

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

29 Sept

Tobermore

5 : 3

Ardstraw

18 Aug

Ardstraw

7 : 0

Dromore Amateurs

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Queens University -

TBD -

Donegal -

Malachians 3

Ballynure Old Boys 1

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Lurgan Town Boys 6

Strabane FC 5

Ardstraw 0

Newcastle 4

TBD -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

PSNI -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Dunmurry Rec -

TBD -

Oxford Sunnyside 2

Barn 4

Crewe 2

Mountjoy 1

Abbey Villa 0

Islandmagee 2

Omagh United -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United 1

Kilmore Rec 2

Richhill -

TBD -

Mosside -

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Newry City -

TBD -

Moyola -

TBD -

Larne -

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Crumlin United -

Raceview -

TBD -

Draperstown -

Warrenpoint -

TBD -

Desertmartin 0

Hanover 1

Dromara -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Armagh -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Nortel 6

Bloomfield 1

TBD -

Newbuildings -

Seagoe -

TBD -

East Belfast 2

Lisburn Rangers 3

TBD -

Killymoon -

Oxford Stars 3

Lower Maze 2

TBD -

Grove -

Banbridge Rangers -

TBD -

Foundry -

Dungiven -

TBD -

Rathfriland Rangers -

Rosario Youth 5

Roe Valley 0

Kesh 2

Bryansburn 3

Dundela -

TBD -

Dergview -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Ards -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Chimney -

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Institute -

TBD -

Brantwood -

TBD -

Tandragee -

Saintfield -

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Fivemiletown -

TBD -

U. U. Jordanstown -

Sirocco -

TBD -

Downshire Y.M. 0

Wellington Rec 8

TBD -

Glenavon -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Bangor FC -

Tobermore -

TBD -

Ballymacash -

TBD -

Kilbride 1

Downpatrick 3

Broomhedge -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Comber Rec 2

Holywood -

TBD -

Shorts -

Newington FC 2

Laurelvale 0

TBD -

Magherafelt -

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Portadown -

1/128-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Queens University -

TBD -

Donegal -

Malachians 3

Bangor Old Boys 2

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Newcastle 5

TBD -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

PSNI -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Barn 2

Crewe 4

Islandmagee 6

Omagh United 3

Kilmore Rec 2

Richhill 1

Mosside 5

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Newry City -

TBD -

Moyola -

TBD -

Larne -

Ards Rangers 5

Crumlin United 1

Raceview 1

Draperstown 2

Warrenpoint 4

Hanover 1

Dromara 1

Dollingstown 2

Armagh -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Nortel 4

Newbuildings 0

Seagoe 1

Lisburn Rangers 5

TBD -

Killymoon -

Oxford Stars 2

Grove 0

Banbridge Rangers 0

Foundry 4

Dungiven 3

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Rosario Youth 3

Bryansburn 4

Dundela -

TBD -

Dergview -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Ards -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Chimney -

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Institute -

TBD -

Brantwood 4

Tandragee 1

Saintfield 0

Killyleagh Youth 5

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Fivemiletown 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Sirocco 0

Wellington Rec 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Bangor FC -

Tobermore -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Downpatrick 0

Broomhedge 1

Comber Rec 7

Holywood 4

Shorts 1

Newington FC 2

Magherafelt 3

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Portadown -

1/64-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Queens University -

TBD -

Donegal -

Malachians 4

Newcastle 1

TBD -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

PSNI -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Dunmurry Rec 2

Islandmagee 6

Omagh United 1

Mosside 0

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Newry City -

TBD -

Moyola -

TBD -

Larne -

Ards Rangers 4

Draperstown 1

Warrenpoint 0

Dollingstown 1

Armagh -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Nortel 2

Lisburn Rangers 1

TBD -

Killymoon -

Oxford Stars 7

Foundry 5

Dungiven 1

Bryansburn 3

Dundela -

TBD -

Dergview -

TBD -

Coleraine -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Ards -

Glebe -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

Chimney -

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Institute -

TBD -

Brantwood 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Fivemiletown 2

Wellington Rec 4

TBD -

Glenavon -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Bangor FC -

Tobermore -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Comber Rec 2

Holywood 2

Magherafelt 1

TBD -

Coagh Utd -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Carrick Rangers -

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Portadown -

1/32-finals

Linfield -

TBD -

Queens University 0

Donegal 1

Malachians 3

Limavady 1

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ballyclare 2

PSNI 0

Lurgan Celtic 1

Islandmagee 2

Omagh United 2

Sport & Leisure 0

TBD -

Glentoran -

Newry City -

TBD -

Moyola 0

Larne 2

Ards Rangers 3

Dollingstown 2

Armagh 1

Loughgall 2

Nortel 1

Killymoon 0

Oxford Stars 2

Bryansburn 3

Dundela 3

Dergview 2

TBD -

Coleraine -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Knockbreda 1

Ards 2

Glebe 1

Wakehurst 0

Chimney 0

Ballinamallard 9

Institute -

TBD -

Brantwood 0

Ballymoney 4

Harland & Wolff 2

Wellington Rec 1

TBD -

Glenavon -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Banbridge 2

Bangor FC 3

Tobermore 2

Comber Rec 1

Holywood 0

Coagh Utd 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Carrick Rangers 3

Annagh 1

TBD -

Portadown -

1/16-finals

Linfield 4

Donegal 0

Malachians 0

Dungannon 6

Ballyclare 5

Islandmagee 1

Omagh United 0

Glentoran 5

Newry City 2

Larne 1

Ards Rangers 1

Loughgall 3

Nortel 5

Bryansburn 4

Dundela 0

Coleraine 2

Ballymena 1

Ards 0

Glebe 0

Ballinamallard 3

Institute 2

Ballymoney 1

Harland & Wolff 1

Glenavon 5

Crusaders 5

Bangor FC 1

Tobermore 0

Coagh Utd 1

Cliftonville 2

Lisburn Distillery 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Portadown 2

1/8-finals

Linfield 4

Dungannon 0

Ballyclare 1

Glentoran 2

Newry City 2

Loughgall 1

Nortel 0

Coleraine 6

Ballymena 5

Ballinamallard 2

Institute 1

Glenavon 2

Crusaders 4

Coagh Utd 0

Cliftonville 1

Portadown 2

Quarter-finals

Linfield 3

Glentoran 1

Newry City 2

Coleraine 3

Ballymena 5

Glenavon 3

Crusaders 1

Portadown 2

Semi-finals

Linfield 4

Coleraine 2

Ballymena 1

Portadown 2

Final

Linfield 2

Portadown 1

Newcastle vs Ardstraw

Northern Ireland

Newcastle

Ardstraw

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

Ardstraw

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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