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Newcastle vs Seagoe Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle in this Irish Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Newcastle
15%
Draws
42%
Seagoe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newcastle lately — more wins on the board than Seagoe.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle taking it.
  • Newcastle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Newcastle Clean Sheet 10%
Seagoe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle Seagoe
Matches Played 17 10
Wins 8 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 2.29 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.59 5.5
Expected Goals (xG) 3.69 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2008 Irish Cup
Newcastle vs Seagoe
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle 83 / 100
Seagoe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle Seagoe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seagoe has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Newcastle scored in 76% of their last 17 games.

Seagoe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle VS Seagoe
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.25 Goals Conceded 5.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

(Home)
28 Sept
Newcastle
0 : 5
Banbridge
17 Aug
Grove
2 : 4
Newcastle
18 Aug
Bangor Amateurs FC
3 : 2
Newcastle
02 Dec
Dundela
5 : 0
Newcastle
04 Nov
Newcastle
3 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 4

Seagoe

(Away)
28 Sept
Rathfriland Rangers
4 : 2
Seagoe
17 Aug
Sirocco
2 : 3
Seagoe
03 Nov
Seagoe
1 : 4
Maiden City
29 Sept
Seagoe
4 : 3
Ballynahinch United
19 Aug
Seagoe
1 : 12
Larne Technical Old Boys
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 3
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raceview 2
Donard 1
Sport & Leisure 0
Dromara 3
Kilmore Rec 3
East Belfast 1
Markethill 2
U. U. Coleraine 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians -
TBD -
Portadown BBOB 0
Tandragee 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 3
Desertmartin 0
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Newington FC -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Churchill -
TBD -
Seagoe 1
Newcastle 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Barn 0
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Moyola 3
Laurelvale 2
TBD -
Hanover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Holywood 1
Sirocco 2
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 3
Comber Rec 2
Bloomfield 1
Grove 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saintfield -
TBD -
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Nortel -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Draperstown 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 6
Roe Valley 1
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Dungiven 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunaghy -
TBD -
Crewe 2
Crumlin United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Fivemiletown 1
Warrenpoint 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Raceview 3
Dromara 4
Kilmore Rec 3
U. U. Coleraine 1
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians 2
Tandragee 1
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth 2
Lower Maze 0
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 2
Brantwood 1
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Newington FC 4
PSNI 4
Foundry 3
Churchill 3
Newcastle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 2
Ards Rangers 3
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Knockbreda 2
Moyola 1
Hanover 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 4
Bryansburn 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 1
Grove 0
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
Saintfield 0
Dundela 5
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
Strabane FC 2
Dollingstown 6
Nortel 5
Draperstown 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 3
Dungiven 2
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
Dunaghy 0
Crumlin United 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 3
Dromara 1
Kilmore Rec 0
Donegal 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
Malachians 1
Ards 2
Limavady 5
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Banbridge 2
Killyleagh Youth 2
Killymoon 0
Queens University 2
Tobermore 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Glebe 0
Newington FC 2
PSNI 6
Newcastle 3
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 5
Hanover 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Drumaness 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Portstewart 3
Coagh Utd 2
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown 5
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Dergview 3
Larne 3
Dollingstown 1
Nortel 0
Loughgall 5
Ballymena -
TBD -
Newbuildings 1
Ballyclare 4
Ballymoney 2
Crumlin United 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 3
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 0
Donegal 1
Coleraine 3
Ards 0
Limavady 0
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Tobermore 4
Glenavon 3
Newington FC 1
PSNI 0
Linfield 3
Institute 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 2
Dungannon 7
Bangor FC 6
Carrick Rangers 2
Portstewart 0
Newry City 8
Portadown 8
Dergview 1
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tobermore 0
Glenavon 1
Linfield 3
Institute 1
Dungannon 0
Bangor FC 0
Newry City 1
Portadown 5
Loughgall 0
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Linfield 3
Institute 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Linfield 2
Institute 1
Crusaders 4
Final
Cliftonville 0
Crusaders 1