Sport Picks

Newcastle vs Strabane Athletic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2017/2018

Newcastle

3 - 1

Strabane Athletic

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Newcastle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%

Newcastle

30%

Draws

35%

Strabane Athletic

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence

Strabane Athletic carry the better recent record into this one.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
Strabane Athletic arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

Newcastle Clean Sheet 19%

Strabane Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newcastle	Strabane Athletic
Matches Played	17	28
Wins	8	11
Draws	0	4
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	2.29	1.54
Goals Conceded	2.59	2.04
Expected Goals (xG)	2.17	1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2017 Irish Cup

Newcastle vs Strabane Athletic

3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle 31 / 100

Strabane Athletic 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newcastle Strabane Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Strabane Athletic has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Newcastle found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (17 games).

Recent resilience: Newcastle stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Strabane Athletic

0 Goals Scored 1.38

0 Goals Conceded 3.13

0% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 88%

0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

(Home)

28 Sept

Newcastle

0 : 5

Banbridge

17 Aug

Grove

2 : 4

Newcastle

18 Aug

Bangor Amateurs FC

3 : 2

Newcastle

02 Dec

Dundela

5 : 0

Newcastle

04 Nov

Newcastle

3 : 0

Rathfriland Rangers

Page 1 of 4

Strabane Athletic

(Away)

02 Oct

Strabane Athletic

0 : 0

Armagh

26 Sept

Ards

0 : 1

Strabane Athletic

18 Sept

Dundela

1 : 1

Strabane Athletic

11 Sept

Strabane Athletic

2 : 2

Newry City

05 Sept

Queens University

6 : 0

Strabane Athletic

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry -

TBD -

St. Marys 1

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth -

TBD -

Bloomfield 1

Craigavon City 3

Newtowne FC 3

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

TBD -

Desertmartin -

Newington FC -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation -

TBD -

Seapatrick 1

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Islandmagee 4

Fivemiletown 1

Iveagh Utd 0

Ards Rangers 9

Laurelvale 6

Broomhedge 1

Bangor Old Boys 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

Malachians 2

TBD -

Moyola -

Immaculata 3

Abbey Villa 0

Seagoe 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 12

Rosario Youth -

Ballynahinch United -

TBD -

Brantwood -

Valley Rangers 5

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Magherafelt -

Colin Valley -

Donegal -

TBD -

Silverwood 2

Crumlin United 3

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela -

TBD -

Richhill 2

Ardstraw 10

Windmill 2

St. James' Swifts 1

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

Rathfriland Rangers 8

Barn 3

Dunmurry Y.M. 0

Orangefield Old Boys' 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Newcastle -

Killyleagh Youth 5

Newbuildings 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Sirocco 4

Dunmurry Rec 4

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Banbridge -

TBD -

Cookstown RBL 1

Dromara 2

Dungiven 3

Suffolk 2

TBD -

Queens University -

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 3

Dollingstown 1

Groomsport 1

Lurgan Town Boys 3

Lisburn Rangers 5

Rathfern Rangers 4

Saintfield 2

Tandragee 4

Portaferry Rovers 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 1

TBD -

Mossley FC -

Dunloy 3

Banbridge Rangers 1

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Bangor FC 0

St Luke's 1

Rosemount Rec 3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Comber Rec 2

TBD -

U. U. Jordanstown -

St. Patricks Young 2

Lower Maze 1

TBD -

Wellington Rec -

Markethill 2

Grove 1

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 4

Ballymacash 3

Bourneview Mill 1

Derriaghy 3

Drumaness 3

Crewe 2

Chimney 2

Hanover 8

Armagh -

TBD -

Ballymoney 1

Coagh Utd 6

Oxford Stars 4

Trojans 3

Shorts 1

Crumlin Star 9

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/128-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Bryansburn 3

Cookstown Youth 6

Craigavon City 7

Newtowne FC 4

Desertmartin 2

Newington FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 6

Ballynure Old Boys 3

Islandmagee 1

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 5

Tullyvallen Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. 1

Moyola 10

Immaculata 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Rosario Youth 4

Brantwood 0

Valley Rangers 4

Colin Valley 1

Donegal 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 6

Ardstraw 2

Windmill 0

Sport & Leisure 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 1

Strabane Athletic 1

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Sirocco 0

Dunmurry Rec 0

Tobermore 7

Banbridge 1

Dromara 0

Dungiven 2

Queens University 7

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 7

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Tandragee 3

Portaferry Rovers 2

Mossley FC 0

Dunloy 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 3

Rosemount Rec 0

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

U. U. Jordanstown 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Wellington Rec 2

Markethill 2

Annagh 4

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 2

Derriaghy 1

Drumaness 0

Hanover 2

Armagh 2

Coagh Utd 0

Oxford Stars 0

Crumlin Star 5

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/64-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 4

Craigavon City 1

Newtowne FC 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 3

Ards Rangers 2

Laurelvale 0

Moyola 5

Immaculata 3

Brantwood 1

Valley Rangers 0

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 2

Sport & Leisure 0

Rathfriland Rangers 0

Newcastle 3

Killyleagh Youth 3

Tobermore 1

Banbridge 1

Queens University 2

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Tandragee 1

Portaferry Rovers 1

Portstewart 2

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 11

U. U. Jordanstown 0

St. Patricks Young 2

Annagh 5

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 3

Hanover 2

Armagh 1

Crumlin Star 2

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/32-finals

Coleraine -

TBD -

Foundry 1

Lisburn Distillery 3

Knockbreda -

TBD -

Institute -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Portadown -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Ballywalter Recreation 0

Moyola 2

Immaculata 4

Crumlin United 2

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Dundela 5

Newcastle 0

Killyleagh Youth 1

Queens University 3

Dergview -

TBD -

Larne -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Maiden City 2

Portstewart 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

Newry City -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Glebe 2

Annagh 1

TBD -

Linfield -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Limavady -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Ards -

TBD -

Shankill 0

Crumlin Star 4

PSNI -

TBD -

Loughgall -

1/16-finals

Coleraine 7

Lisburn Distillery 0

Knockbreda 0

Institute 2

Ballyclare 2

Portadown 1

Lurgan Celtic 1

Glentoran 2

Ballymena 4

Moyola 0

Immaculata 2

Ballinamallard 4

Dundela 1

Queens University 0

Dergview 0

Larne 3

Cliftonville 4

Warrenpoint 3

Maiden City 0

Crusaders 2

Newry City 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Glebe 0

Linfield 5

Glenavon 3

Carrick Rangers 1

Limavady 0

Dungannon 4

Ards 4

Crumlin Star 1

PSNI 1

Loughgall 4

1/8-finals

Coleraine 4

Institute 0

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 4

Ballymena 3

Ballinamallard 2

Dundela 1

Larne 6

Cliftonville 4

Crusaders 1

Newry City 0

Linfield 1

Glenavon 3

Dungannon 0

Ards 1

Loughgall 2

Quarter-finals

Coleraine 1

Glentoran 0

Ballymena 1

Larne 2

Cliftonville 1

Linfield 0

Glenavon 1

Loughgall 2

Semi-finals

Coleraine 3

Larne 1

Cliftonville 4

Loughgall 1

Final

Coleraine 3

Cliftonville 1

Newcastle vs Strabane Athletic Prediction & H2H Stats

Northern Ireland

Newcastle

Strabane Athletic

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle

Strabane Athletic

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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