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Newcastle W vs Perth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

A-League Women Hunter City Motor Group Stadium, Weston
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
04:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newcastle W host Perth W in the A-League Women. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Newcastle W at 1.45 goals for, 1.97 against; Perth W at 1.1 for, 1.62 against. Head-to-head, Newcastle W have won 1 to Perth W's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 2:3. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.56, favoring Perth W. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Newcastle W
15%
Draws
34%
Perth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newcastle W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Perth W have managed 1.1 goals a game lately — Newcastle W are scoring more at 1.45.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Newcastle W taking it.
  • Regular A-League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Newcastle W Clean Sheet 15%
Perth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newcastle W Perth W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.45 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 A-League Women
Newcastle W vs Perth W
2:3
Jan 3, 2026 A-League Women
Perth W vs Newcastle W
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 A-League Women
Newcastle W vs Perth W
2:1
Nov 10, 2024 A-League Women
Perth W vs Newcastle W
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 A-League Women
Newcastle W vs Perth W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newcastle W 57 / 100
Perth W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newcastle W Perth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Perth W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Perth W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newcastle W VS Perth W
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Newcastle W

(Home)
05 Apr
Newcastle W
1 : 2
Melbourne City W
28 Mar
Adelaide W
1 : 3
Newcastle W
20 Mar
Brisbane Roar W
4 : 2
Newcastle W
13 Mar
Newcastle W
3 : 1
Sydney W
21 Feb
Newcastle W
2 : 3
Perth W
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Perth W

(Away)
03 Apr
Perth W
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory W
27 Mar
Brisbane Roar W
5 : 2
Perth W
21 Mar
Perth W
0 : 0
Central Coast W
13 Mar
Adelaide W
2 : 1
Perth W
21 Feb
Newcastle W
2 : 3
Perth W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Brisbane Roar W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Newcastle W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Canberra W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Sydney W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Melbourne Victory W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Perth W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Western Sydney Wanderers W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Melbourne City W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Wellington Phoenix W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Central Coast W 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - A-League Women (Play Offs)