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Newells Old Boys 2 vs Boca Juniors 2

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Benedetto B.
47' Event
Amadio J.
50' Event
Rios T.

AI Match Summary

The Reserve League game between Newells Old Boys 2 and Boca Juniors 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newells Old Boys 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Newells Old Boys 2
20%
Draws
52%
Boca Juniors 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Boca Juniors 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys 2 haven't matched Boca Juniors 2's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Newells Old Boys 2 Clean Sheet 68%
Boca Juniors 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys 2 Boca Juniors 2
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.34 1.66
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Boca Juniors 2
3:1
Sep 24, 2025 Reserve League
Boca Juniors 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
2:0
Apr 22, 2025 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Boca Juniors 2
1:2
Oct 29, 2024 Reserve League
Boca Juniors 2 vs Newells Old Boys 2
3:0
May 30, 2024 Reserve League
Newells Old Boys 2 vs Boca Juniors 2
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Benedetto B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amadio J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Boca Juniors 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gelini G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 2 42 / 100
Boca Juniors 2 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys 2 Boca Juniors 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys 2 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Boca Juniors 2 conceded in 41% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Newells Old Boys 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys 2 VS Boca Juniors 2
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys 2

(Home)
24 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
3 : 0
Rosario Central 2
17 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
4 : 0
San Martin S.J. 2
10 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia 2
1 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
02 Sept
Newells Old Boys 2
0 : 2
Deportivo Riestra 2
27 Aug
CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2
2 : 0
Newells Old Boys 2
Page 1 of 6

Boca Juniors 2

(Away)
25 Sept
River Plate 2
2 : 2
Boca Juniors 2
17 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
0 : 0
Atl. Rafaela 2
09 Sept
Platense 2
0 : 2
Boca Juniors 2
03 Sept
Boca Juniors 2
1 : 0
Quilmes 2
26 Aug
Estudiantes L.P. 2
2 : 3
Boca Juniors 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Velez Sarsfield 2 18 14 2 2 40:11 44
2 River Plate 2 18 9 4 5 24:17 31
3 Racing Club 2 18 8 6 4 27:23 30
4 Atl. Tucuman 2 18 9 3 6 26:25 30
5 Union de Santa Fe 2 18 7 8 3 23:19 29
6 Argentinos Jrs 2 18 7 7 4 24:18 28
7 Talleres Cordoba 2 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
8 Rosario Central 2 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
9 Instituto 2 18 5 9 4 20:21 24
10 San Lorenzo 2 18 6 6 6 22:24 24
11 Gimnasia L.P. 2 18 6 5 7 19:17 23
12 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 18 6 5 7 16:19 23
13 Banfield 2 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
14 Aldosivi 2 18 5 3 10 17:28 18
15 Barracas Central 2 18 4 5 9 11:24 17
16 Sarmiento Junin 2 18 4 4 10 16:26 16
17 Tigre 2 18 4 4 10 15:25 16
18 Godoy Cruz 2 18 4 3 11 20:30 15
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 2 18 11 3 4 33:11 36
2 Independiente 2 18 11 3 4 36:16 36
3 Lanus 2 18 11 2 5 39:24 35
4 Newells Old Boys 2 18 10 4 4 26:16 34
5 Quilmes 2 18 10 3 5 20:12 33
6 Defensa y Justicia 2 18 9 5 4 38:24 32
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 18 8 4 6 25:16 28
8 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 18 8 3 7 27:29 27
9 Huracan 2 18 7 5 6 23:17 26
10 Platense 2 18 7 5 6 17:20 26
11 Deportivo Riestra 2 18 7 4 7 25:18 25
12 Ind. Rivadavia 2 18 7 3 8 23:23 24
13 Ferro 2 18 6 4 8 20:23 22
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 18 5 4 9 21:33 19
15 Colon Santa Fe 2 18 5 3 10 15:23 18
16 Atl. Rafaela 2 18 3 3 12 21:36 12
17 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 18 2 5 11 9:32 11
18 San Martin S.J. 2 18 2 2 14 16:59 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Apertura - Play Offs)