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Stadium Background

Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Gomez J.
31' Event
Miritello J. B.
Assist: Portillo A.
43'
Luciano M.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys host Defensa y Justicia in the Liga Profesional. This one's hard to separate. Newells Old Boys have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Defensa y Justicia's 1.63 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Newells Old Boys have won 2 to Defensa y Justicia's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 2:3. xG projections (1.31 - 1.56) back Defensa y Justicia to edge this. Defensa y Justicia in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Newells Old Boys
6%
Draws
4%
Defensa y Justicia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Defensa y Justicia has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newells Old Boys.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Newells Old Boys.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Profesional provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Defensa y Justicia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Defensa y Justicia
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Liga Profesional
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
May 23, 2025 Copa Argentina
Defensa y Justicia vs Newells Old Boys
0:2
Feb 12, 2025 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia
0:1
May 25, 2024 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Defensa y Justicia
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Coccaro M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salomon O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Defensa y Justicia Compare

Top Goalscorer Miritello J. B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Portillo A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 95 / 100
Defensa y Justicia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Defensa y Justicia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensa y Justicia let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensa y Justicia lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Defensa y Justicia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245