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Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Mino F.
41'
Quintana C.
42'
Regiardo L.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newells Old Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Newells Old Boys
35%
Draws
19%
Deportivo Riestra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Newells Old Boys lately — more wins on the board than Deportivo Riestra.
  • Model gives Newells Old Boys a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo Riestra Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Deportivo Riestra
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 11 12
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Deportivo Riestra
2:0
Feb 16, 2026 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Liga Profesional
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
3:3
May 16, 2024 Copa Argentina
Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Guch F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mazzantti W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Deportivo Riestra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 77 / 100
Deportivo Riestra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Deportivo Riestra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportivo Riestra let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.75 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Deportivo Riestra
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1
Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0
Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6

Deportivo Riestra

(Away)
05 Oct
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
19 Sept
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 0
Deportivo Riestra
14 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
0 : 3
Lanus
09 Sept
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 2
Banfield
04 Sept
Platense
1 : 1
Deportivo Riestra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 12 8 2 2 19:10 26
2 Defensa y Justicia 12 7 3 2 18:11 24
3 Boca Juniors 12 5 6 1 19:13 21
4 Velez Sarsfield 11 5 6 0 17:11 21
5 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
6 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
7 Gimnasia Mendoza 11 5 2 4 14:12 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Estudiantes L.P. 12 4 2 6 15:13 14
10 Union de Santa Fe 12 4 1 7 17:21 13
11 Deportivo Riestra 11 2 5 4 9:11 11
12 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
13 Platense 11 2 4 5 11:17 10
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 12 2 4 6 10:16 10
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Sarmiento Junin 11 6 1 4 20:17 19
4 Rosario Central 11 5 4 2 12:9 19
5 Huracan 12 5 4 3 11:10 19
6 Gimnasia L.P. 12 5 4 3 17:17 19
7 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
8 Barracas Central 12 5 3 4 10:9 18
9 Atl. Tucuman 12 3 5 4 10:10 14
10 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
11 Banfield 12 3 4 5 14:18 13
12 Tigre 12 3 3 6 11:13 12
13 Racing Club 11 3 2 6 13:17 11
14 Aldosivi 12 2 2 8 13:20 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 11 1 3 7 6:15 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)