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Stadium Background

Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia Mendoza

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Mazzantti W.
19'
Fernandez E.
21'
Nunez W.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newells Old Boys.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Newells Old Boys
28%
Draws
22%
Gimnasia Mendoza
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Newells Old Boys haven't matched Gimnasia Mendoza's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Newells Old Boys taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Gimnasia Mendoza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys Gimnasia Mendoza
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Gimnasia Mendoza
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newells Old Boys Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzantti W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Gimnasia Mendoza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 59 / 100
Gimnasia Mendoza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys Gimnasia Mendoza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Gimnasia Mendoza let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS Gimnasia Mendoza
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Newells Old Boys

(Home)
25 Jul
Newells Old Boys
1 : 0
Talleres Cordoba
04 May
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 1
Newells Old Boys
26 Apr
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1
Instituto
17 Apr
Union de Santa Fe
2 : 3
Newells Old Boys
12 Apr
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

Gimnasia Mendoza

(Away)
24 Jul
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0
Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)
04 May
Gimnasia Mendoza
2 : 1
Defensa y Justicia
26 Apr
Ind. Rivadavia
5 : 1
Gimnasia Mendoza
21 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
1 : 0
Lanus
15 Apr
Gimnasia Mendoza
0 : 1
Gimnasia y Tiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)