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Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Coccaro M. In: Scarpeccio F.
Out: Coccaro M.
35'
De Ritis M.
46'
Sub
De Ritis M. In: Rodriguez Pagano T.
Out: De Ritis M.

AI Match Summary

Newells Old Boys host San Lorenzo in the Liga Profesional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Newells Old Boys have averaged 1.29 scored and 1 conceded recently, against San Lorenzo's 0.88 scored and 0.38 conceded. Past meetings favor Newells Old Boys slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.83 - 0.94) back San Lorenzo to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Newells Old Boys
22%
Draws
18%
San Lorenzo
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Newells Old Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • San Lorenzo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newells Old Boys.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Newells Old Boys.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga Profesional provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newells Old Boys San Lorenzo
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 14
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.29 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo
0:0
Jul 27, 2024 Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
Mar 4, 2024 Copa de la Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo
2:2
Oct 7, 2023 Copa de la Liga Profesional
San Lorenzo vs Newells Old Boys
0:3
Mar 20, 2023 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs San Lorenzo
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newells Old Boys 68 / 100
San Lorenzo 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newells Old Boys San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NEW Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newells Old Boys scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

San Lorenzo let in goals in 50% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Newells Old Boys went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Lorenzo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newells Old Boys VS San Lorenzo
1.29 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
71% Over 1.5 50%
29% Over 2.5 0%
29% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245