Sport Picks
Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario 
Match Events
27'
27'
Martinez R.
Assist: Gomez E.
59'
59'
Sub
Mammana E. In: Magallan L.
Out: Mammana E.
60'
60'
Sub
Policella J. In: Veron A.
Out: Policella J.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
35%
35%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Velez Sarsfield have won more games recently than Newells Old Boys.
- Win probability leans Newells Old Boys's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Newells Old Boys Clean Sheet 68%
Velez Sarsfield Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newells Old Boys | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 13 |
| Draws | 11 | 13 |
| Losses | 11 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 0.87 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 11, 2026 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield
1:1
May 4, 2026 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys
1:1
May 21, 2024 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys
1:0
Feb 3, 2023 Liga Profesional
Newells Old Boys vs Velez Sarsfield
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 Liga Profesional
Velez Sarsfield vs Newells Old Boys
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newells Old Boys Compare
Top Goalscorer Sonora A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Velez Sarsfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Martinez R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newells Old Boys 59 / 100
Velez Sarsfield 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newells Old Boys Velez Sarsfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newells Old Boys Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Newells Old Boys stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Newells Old Boys found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).
Velez Sarsfield has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Newells Old Boys VS Velez Sarsfield
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Newells Old Boys
(Home) 03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0 Lanus
20 Sept
Platense
0 : 1 Newells Old Boys
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Rosario Central
1 : 1 Newells Old Boys
31 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
0 : 0 Newells Old Boys
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Newells Old Boys
0 : 0 Lanus
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
23 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 1 Banfield
15 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 0 Deportivo Riestra
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 4
Velez Sarsfield
(Away) 05 Oct
Velez Sarsfield
2 : 2 Platense
21 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
3 : 2 Tigre
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
06 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
03 Sept
Velez Sarsfield
0 : 1 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Newells Old Boys
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
29 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
23 Aug
River Plate
2 : 2 Velez Sarsfield
08 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
30 Jul
Talleres Cordoba
1 : 3 Velez Sarsfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Velez Sarsfield | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 17:11 | 21 |
| 3 | Defensa y Justicia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:11 | 21 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 17:11 | 20 |
| 5 | Lanus | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newells Old Boys | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 11:8 | 17 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 17 |
| 8 | Independiente | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Estudiantes L.P. | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 10 | Union de Santa Fe | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 17:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Deportivo Riestra | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 4:11 | 11 |
| 13 | Platense | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:18 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:10 | 21 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Rosario Central | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Huracan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:8 | 19 |
| 5 | Ind. Rivadavia | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 18 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P. | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17:16 | 16 |
| 8 | Barracas Central | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8:9 | 15 |
| 9 | River Plate | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13:12 | 13 |
| 10 | Atl. Tucuman | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Tigre | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13:17 | 11 |
| 13 | Banfield | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
