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Newington FC vs Dundela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 5-5.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Newington FC
30%
Draws
39%
Dundela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dundela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Newington FC have won more games recently than Dundela.
  • Model gives Newington FC a 31% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this NIFL Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Newington FC Clean Sheet 10%
Dundela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newington FC Dundela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 12
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.97 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dundela
5:5
Feb 7, 2026 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dundela
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 NIFL Championship
Newington FC vs Dundela
2:2
Oct 11, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Newington FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 NIFL Championship
Dundela vs Newington FC
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newington FC 83 / 100
Dundela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newington FC Dundela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newington FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newington FC found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Dundela let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Newington FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newington FC VS Dundela
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Newington FC

(Home)
09 Oct
Newington FC
0 : 2
Ards
03 Oct
Institute
7 : 0
Newington FC
26 Sept
Newington FC
4 : 0
Ballinamallard
19 Sept
Glenavon
1 : 0
Newington FC
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

Dundela

(Away)
09 Oct
Newry City
3 : 1
Dundela
03 Oct
Dundela
0 : 2
Queens University
26 Sept
Armagh
0 : 2
Dundela
18 Sept
Dundela
1 : 1
Strabane Athletic
12 Sept
Newington FC
5 : 5
Dundela
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 11 6 2 3 24:20 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Newry City 11 5 3 3 19:19 18
6 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
7 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
8 Ards 11 4 3 4 14:13 15
9 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
10 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
11 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
12 Dundela 11 2 5 4 19:23 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 11 3 0 8 11:23 9
16 Armagh 11 0 5 6 9:18 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)