Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Baglan Dragons in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baglan Dragons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Newport City lately — more wins on the board than Baglan Dragons.
- Newport City are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport City | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Baglan Dragons conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Newport City's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Newport City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newport City
(Home)Baglan Dragons
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Carmarthen Town | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Newport City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Treowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 6 |
| 6 | Caerau Ely | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 4 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 4 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 3 |
| 11 | Pontardawe | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:5 | 2 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:9 | 0 |
