Sport Picks
Newport City vs Baglan Dragons - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru South 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Baglan Dragons in this Cymru South matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baglan Dragons.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Baglan Dragons lately — more wins on the board than Newport City.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Cymru South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport City | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport City Compare
Baglan Dragons Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Baglan Dragons conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Newport City's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Newport City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Newport City
(Home)Baglan Dragons
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 30:11 | 21 |
| 2 | Pontypridd United | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 24:17 | 20 |
| 3 | Aberystwyth | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22:9 | 19 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:18 | 19 |
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 7 | Carmarthen Town | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 22:21 | 15 |
| 8 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 20:18 | 13 |
| 9 | Treowen | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 19:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 18:22 | 12 |
| 11 | Caerphilly | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 12 | Pontardawe | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 14 | Newport City | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Llantwit Major | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:21 | 8 |
| 16 | Llanelli | 11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9:33 | 2 |
