Sport Picks
Newport City vs Pontypridd United
Wales
Cymru South 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Newport City play Pontypridd United in the Cymru South 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newport City averaged 1.25 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Pontypridd United averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. In past meetings, Newport City won 2, Pontypridd United won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 5, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Newport City and 2.13 for Pontypridd United. This points to a Pontypridd United double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pontypridd United has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newport City.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pontypridd United.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Cymru South 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport City | Pontypridd United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.38 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.38 | 2.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport City scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Pontypridd United let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 1.75 goals.
Newport City went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Pontypridd United lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trefelin | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 83:17 | 78 |
| 2 | Cambrian United | 30 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 75:20 | 76 |
| 3 | Ammanford Town | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 49:26 | 60 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 66:34 | 57 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 45:38 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 35:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 50:48 | 40 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 44:47 | 37 |
| 9 | Treowen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 51:63 | 37 |
| 10 | Newport City | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:48 | 37 |
| 11 | Pontypridd United | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 46:51 | 34 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 30 | 9 | 3 | 18 | 32:57 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 45:62 | 29 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 26:52 | 25 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 27:56 | 23 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 30 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 25:78 | 10 |