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Newport Civil Service vs Caersws FC

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2008/2009
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AI Match Summary

Newport Civil Service host Caersws FC in the FA Cup 2008/2009. Little to choose between these two on current form. Newport Civil Service have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Caersws FC's 2 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Newport Civil Service have won 0 to Caersws FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Oct 4, 2008, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.29 xG vs 1.55) point toward Caersws FC. Caersws FC in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Newport Civil Service
6%
Draws
90%
Caersws FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Caersws FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Caersws FC has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Newport Civil Service.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Caersws FC.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Cup 2008/2009 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Newport Civil Service Clean Sheet 15%
Caersws FC Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newport Civil Service Caersws FC
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 3 12
Draws 0 4
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 0 2
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2008 FA Cup
Newport Civil Service vs Caersws FC
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport Civil Service 10 / 100
Caersws FC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newport Civil Service Caersws FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport Civil Service scored in 43% of their last 7 games.

Caersws FC let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Newport Civil Service went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Caersws FC lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caersws FC
0 Goals Scored 2
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Cwmamman United0
Afan Lido3
Newport Civil Service5
Grange Harlequins1
TBD-
Caersws FC-
Flint Town4
Rhos Aelwyd3
Brymbo0
Mold Alexandra8
Llanwern FC3
Ton Pentre0
Porthcawl Town0
Llwydcoed3
Goytre Utd4
Caerleon1
Bettws FC1
Taffs Well2
Bryntirion Athletic9
Treharris Athletic1
Ely Rangers0
Cardiff Corries3
Gresford1
Tredegar Town0
Cefn United0
Rhydymwyn3
Bala6
Glantraeth FC1
TBD-
Prestatyn-
Port Talbot-
TBD-
Barry Town1
Aberaman2
Chirk AAA FC3
Nantlle Vale FC0
Llanllyfni FC1
Denbigh4
Tywyn Bryncrug4
Bethesda Athletic1
Berriew FC0
Llangollen1
Neath Athletic-
TBD-
TBD-
Llanelli-
TNS-
TBD-
Ruthin Town0
Guilsfield2
Maesteg Park3
Croesyceiliog FC0
Conwy Borough2
Penrhyncoch3
Pwllheli2
Llanrug0
Penparcau FC2
Llandudno Junction4
Bow Street3
Llanberis FC2
TBD-
Carmarthen Town-
Bridgend Town1
Pontyclun FC0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Cwmbran Town3
Llanfairpwll FC2
Hawarden Rangers0
Llandudno FC1
Llangefni3
Porthmadog-
TBD-
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Glan Conwy FC2
Llanrwst United1
Venture Community1
Lex Glyndwr XI2
Holyhead4
Mynydd Isa3
Amlwch Town1
Llay Welfare8
Ammanford Town1
Caldicot0
Caerau Ely1
Pentwyn Dynamo2
Briton Ferry3
AFC Porth1
Llangeinor0
Dinas Powys2
Cwmbran Celtic3
Garw SBGC1
Cwmaman Institute2
Newport YMCA3
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
TBD-
TBD-
Welshpool-
Brickfield Rangers4
Nefyn United3
Penycae FC3
Buckley6
Newtown-
TBD-
Newcastle Emlyn1
Cambrian United4
Halkyn United4
Coedpoeth2
TBD-
Cefn Druids-
Rhyl-
TBD-
Llandyrnog United0
Castell Alun Colts1
Pontypridd United4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers3
TBD-
Haverfordwest-
Garden Village3
West End2
Pontardawe0
Risca United2
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor City-
1/32-finals
Aberystwyth3
Afan Lido2
Newport Civil Service0
Caersws FC1
Flint Town4
Mold Alexandra0
Llanwern FC1
Llwydcoed6
Goytre Utd2
Taffs Well0
Bryntirion Athletic1
Cardiff Corries2
Gresford4
Rhydymwyn1
Bala3
Prestatyn4
Port Talbot1
Aberaman0
Chirk AAA FC1
Denbigh4
Tywyn Bryncrug2
Llangollen1
Neath Athletic0
Llanelli4
TNS4
Guilsfield2
Maesteg Park2
Penrhyncoch3
Pwllheli2
Llandudno Junction0
Bow Street1
Carmarthen Town6
Bridgend Town3
Cwmbran Town1
Llanfairpwll FC0
Llangefni3
Porthmadog5
Caernarfon3
Glan Conwy FC1
Lex Glyndwr XI2
Holyhead2
Llay Welfare1
Ammanford Town0
Pentwyn Dynamo1
Briton Ferry1
Dinas Powys0
Cwmbran Celtic2
Newport YMCA3
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Welshpool1
Brickfield Rangers3
Buckley4
Newtown1
Cambrian United0
Halkyn United2
Cefn Druids4
Rhyl8
Castell Alun Colts0
Pontypridd United1
Haverfordwest4
Garden Village2
Risca United0
Connahs Q.0
Bangor City1
1/16-finals
Aberystwyth3
Caersws FC0
Flint Town0
Llwydcoed1
Goytre Utd6
Cardiff Corries0
Gresford2
Prestatyn3
Port Talbot7
Denbigh0
Tywyn Bryncrug0
Llanelli3
TNS7
Penrhyncoch1
Pwllheli0
Carmarthen Town6
Bridgend Town1
Llangefni0
Porthmadog0
Lex Glyndwr XI2
Holyhead2
Pentwyn Dynamo1
Briton Ferry0
Newport YMCA1
Airbus UK Broughton FC5
Buckley1
Newtown0
Cefn Druids1
Rhyl4
Haverfordwest0
Garden Village0
Bangor City4
1/8-finals
Aberystwyth3
Llwydcoed0
Goytre Utd3
Prestatyn5
Port Talbot2
Llanelli1
TNS2
Carmarthen Town3
Bridgend Town4
Lex Glyndwr XI0
Holyhead1
Newport YMCA2
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Cefn Druids1
Rhyl1
Bangor City2
Quarter-finals
Aberystwyth5
Prestatyn1
Port Talbot1
Carmarthen Town2
Bridgend Town1
Newport YMCA0
Airbus UK Broughton FC0
Bangor City5
Semi-finals
Aberystwyth3
Carmarthen Town2
Bridgend Town1
Bangor City2
Final
Aberystwyth0
Bangor City2