Sport Picks
Newport vs Chesterfield - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
League Two Rodney Parade, Newport 
Match Events
13'
13'
Hutton R.
14'
14'
Norman C.
17'
17'
McEachran G.
AI Match Summary
Newport in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Newport haven't matched Chesterfield's recent run of results.
- 40% — that's where the model lands on Newport taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 30, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Chesterfield
4:1
Jan 24, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Chesterfield
2:1
Sep 27, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Newport
4:1
Mar 8, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Newport
2:1
Oct 18, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Chesterfield
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Norman C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Davies T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Mandeville L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 50 / 100
Chesterfield 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Newport found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Chesterfield has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Newport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Chesterfield
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0 Newport
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2 Newport
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1 York City
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1 York City
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0 Colchester
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3 Plymouth
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Chesterfield
5 : 1 Crewe
20 Oct
Chesterfield
1 : 1 Colchester
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 6
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
17 Oct
Port Vale
1 : 0 Chesterfield
10 Oct
Crawley Town
2 : 2 Chesterfield
26 Sept
Cheltenham
2 : 1 Chesterfield
12 Sept
Oldham
1 : 2 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
