Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Helm M.
38'
38'
Doidge C.
Assist: Jacob M.
41'
41'
Potter F.
AI Match Summary
The League Two game between Newport and Fleetwood Town finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Newport have managed 1.29 goals a game lately — Fleetwood Town are scoring more at 1.37.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Newport Clean Sheet 20%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Fleetwood Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Fleetwood Town
1:1
Feb 28, 2026 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Newport
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Fleetwood Town
0:2
Apr 26, 2025 League Two
Fleetwood Town vs Newport
2:0
Oct 26, 2024 League Two
Newport vs Fleetwood Town
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Doidge C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Fleetwood Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Loupalo-Bi A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 32 / 100
Fleetwood Town 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Fleetwood Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newport's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Fleetwood Town has conceded goals in 63% of their last 27 outings.
Newport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Fleetwood Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Fleetwood Town
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4 AS Roma
Page 1 of 3
Fleetwood Town
(Away) 26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0 Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0 Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1 Fleetwood Town
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
29 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 2 Fleetwood Town
15 Aug
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Fleetwood Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
