Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Kamwa B.
Assist: Biggins H.
29'
29'
Sutton W.
Assist: Woods R.
32'
32'
Sub
Shephard L. In: Thomas J.
Out: Shephard L.
AI Match Summary
Newport in this League Two 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
17%
70%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Oldham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Oldham lately — more wins on the board than Newport.
- Win probability leans Oldham's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular League Two 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Newport Clean Sheet 17%
Oldham Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Oldham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 25, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Oldham
3:2
Nov 22, 2025 League Two
Oldham vs Newport
3:0
Nov 4, 2023 FA Cup
Newport vs Oldham
2:0
Feb 12, 2022 League Two
Newport vs Oldham
3:3
Aug 7, 2021 League Two
Oldham vs Newport
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Kamwa B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lloyd B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Oldham Compare
Top Goalscorer Sutton W.
1 Goals Assists Leader Simeu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 15 / 100
Oldham 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Oldham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick OLD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Oldham conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.
Newport has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Oldham lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Oldham
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4 AS Roma
01 Aug
Yeovil
1 : 2 Newport
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4 Reading
25 Jul
Bath City
2 : 2 Newport
21 Jul
Bristol City
0 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4 AS Roma
28 Jul
Newport
0 : 4 Reading
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2 Oldham
11 Apr
Newport
2 : 1 Harrogate
03 Apr
Newport
0 : 2 Crawley Town
Page 1 of 3
Oldham
(Away) 01 Aug
Oldham
4 : 0 Sheffield Wed
28 Jul
Oldham
0 : 1 Stockport County
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
21 Jul
Oldham
1 : 3 Bolton
02 May
Oldham
3 : 0 Accrington
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Huddersfield
3 : 1 Oldham
25 Apr
Newport
3 : 2 Oldham
14 Apr
Barrow
3 : 2 Oldham
11 Apr
Shrewsbury
1 : 0 Oldham
03 Apr
Colchester
1 : 3 Oldham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
