Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Cameron K.
Assist: Bamba Y.
34'
34'
Adebayo-Rowling T.
38'
38'
Gwengwe S.
Assist: Biggins H.
AI Match Summary
Newport in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Newport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Rochdale lately — more wins on the board than Newport.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%
Rochdale Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Rochdale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.71 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Rochdale
3:0
Jan 7, 2023 League Two
Rochdale vs Newport
1:1
Oct 8, 2022 League Two
Newport vs Rochdale
0:1
May 7, 2022 League Two
Newport vs Rochdale
0:2
Dec 18, 2021 League Two
Rochdale vs Newport
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Cameron K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gwengwe S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
Rochdale Compare
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 41 / 100
Rochdale 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Rochdale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Rochdale has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Newport's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Newport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Rochdale
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2 Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0 Newport
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
05 Sept
Northampton
1 : 0 Newport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1 Grimsby
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1 Fleetwood Town
29 Aug
Newport
2 : 2 Tranmere
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
04 Aug
Newport
1 : 4 AS Roma
Page 1 of 3
Rochdale
(Away) 26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
22 Sept
Rochdale
3 : 4 Liverpool U21
19 Sept
Rochdale
2 : 0 Oldham
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
05 Sept
Rochdale
1 : 4 Gillingham
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2 Rochdale
12 Sept
Walsall
0 : 0 Rochdale
29 Aug
Colchester
1 : 0 Rochdale
15 Aug
Newport
3 : 0 Rochdale
08 Aug
Bradford City
2 : 0 Rochdale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:12 | 15 |
| 3 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 | 15 |
| 4 | York City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:10 | 14 |
| 5 | Walsall | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Salford | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 9 | Crewe | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 8:6 | 12 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 12 | Swindon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 13 | Rotherham | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 10 |
| 14 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 10 |
| 15 | Colchester | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Rochdale | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 17 | Newport | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | 8 |
| 19 | Accrington | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 20 | Oldham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 7 |
| 21 | Exeter | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Northampton | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3:6 | 6 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | 5 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
