Sport Picks
Match Events
11'
11'
Gwengwe S.
Assist: Biggins H.
15'
15'
Slater J.
43'
43'
Doidge C.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this League Two matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newport lately — more wins on the board than Tranmere.
- Win probability leans Newport's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Newport Clean Sheet 68%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newport | Tranmere |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Tranmere
2:2
Mar 3, 2026 League Two
Newport vs Tranmere
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Newport
1:1
May 3, 2025 League Two
Newport vs Tranmere
1:4
Nov 9, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Newport
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newport Compare
Top Goalscorer Gwengwe S.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Tranmere Compare
Top Goalscorer Okoro Z.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jones D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newport 68 / 100
Tranmere 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newport Tranmere
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newport Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Attacking prowess: Newport scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Tranmere has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Newport stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Newport VS Tranmere
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Newport
(Home) 07 Nov
Newport
3 : 1 Walsall
03 Nov
Newport
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
24 Oct
Cheltenham
1 : 0 Newport
20 Oct
Rotherham
2 : 2 Newport
Page 1 of 6
07 Nov
Newport
3 : 1 Walsall
03 Nov
Newport
1 : 2 Crystal Palace U21
30 Oct
Newport
4 : 1 Chesterfield
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1 York City
10 Oct
Newport
1 : 0 Colchester
Page 1 of 3
Tranmere
(Away) 10 Nov
Stockport County
1 : 0 Tranmere
07 Nov
Barnet
3 : 0 Tranmere
31 Oct
Tranmere
3 : 1 Cheltenham
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1 Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
Page 1 of 6
10 Nov
Stockport County
1 : 0 Tranmere
07 Nov
Barnet
3 : 0 Tranmere
24 Oct
Crawley Town
1 : 1 Tranmere
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1 Tranmere
03 Oct
Chesterfield
4 : 2 Tranmere
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 | Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 | Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Promotion - League One 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League 2027/2028 (Main)
