Sport Picks

Newport vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Cup Rodney Parade, Newport

Walsall

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Walsall have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Newport have conceded 1.55 and scored 1.42. Head-to-head, Newport have won 1 to Walsall's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.25) point toward Newport. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Newport

30%

Draws

39%

Walsall

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Walsall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Newport come out ahead of Walsall on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Newport have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Walsall, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Newport Clean Sheet 19%

Walsall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newport	Walsall
Matches Played	31	28
Wins	12	8
Draws	8	11
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.42	1.21
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 League Two

Walsall vs Newport

2:1

Nov 8, 2025 League Two

Newport vs Walsall

2:4

Apr 21, 2025 League Two

Newport vs Walsall

0:0

Dec 29, 2024 League Two

Walsall vs Newport

2:0

Feb 10, 2024 League Two

Walsall vs Newport

0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newport 32 / 100

Walsall 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newport Walsall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newport found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Walsall has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Newport went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Newport VS Walsall

1.25 Goals Scored 1.5

1 Goals Conceded 1.88

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)

30 Oct

Newport

4 : 1

Chesterfield

24 Oct

Cheltenham

1 : 0

Newport

20 Oct

Rotherham

2 : 2

Newport

17 Oct

Newport

1 : 1

York City

10 Oct

Newport

1 : 0

Colchester

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Walsall

(Away)

31 Oct

Colchester

1 : 3

Walsall

26 Oct

Walsall

2 : 4

Salford

20 Oct

Walsall

3 : 0

Oldham

17 Oct

Swindon

1 : 1

Walsall

13 Oct

Walsall

3 : 2

Fulham U21

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Tournament Bracket & Draw

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Newport vs Walsall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Newport

Walsall

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

Walsall

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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