Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Ridha Jalil M.
30'
30'
Hussein M.
80'
80'
Hussein M.
AI Match Summary
Newroz in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newroz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
32%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newroz lately — more wins on the board than Al Minaa.
- 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Newroz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Newroz Clean Sheet 17%
Al Minaa Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newroz | Al Minaa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 12 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Minaa
4:1
Jan 1, 2026 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Newroz
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Minaa
1:0
Feb 4, 2025 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Newroz
1:5
Apr 25, 2024 Stars League
Al Minaa vs Newroz
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newroz Compare
Top Goalscorer Hussein M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ridha Jalil M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Al Minaa Compare
Top Goalscorer Jafar K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newroz 31 / 100
Al Minaa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newroz Al Minaa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newroz scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Defensive concern: Al Minaa conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Newroz has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Newroz VS Al Minaa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Newroz
(Home) 01 Jun
Al Naft
2 : 1 Newroz
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1 Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1 Zakho
16 May
Erbil
0 : 1 Newroz
11 May
Al Kahraba
2 : 1 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1 Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1 Zakho
05 May
Newroz
0 : 3 Al Shorta
27 Apr
Newroz
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
13 Apr
Newroz
4 : 1 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 3
Al Minaa
(Away) 02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Al Minaa
28 May
Al Minaa
1 : 1 Al Talaba
24 May
Al Minaa
2 : 2 Zakho
20 May
Al Minaa
1 : 0 Al Mosul
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 6
02 Jun
Al Shorta
0 : 0 Al Minaa
14 May
Al Naft
1 : 1 Al Minaa
06 May
Al-Qassim
3 : 3 Al Minaa
28 Apr
Al Gharraf
0 : 1 Al Minaa
13 Apr
Newroz
4 : 1 Al Minaa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 62:28 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 69:32 | 80 |
| 3 | Erbil | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 59:32 | 79 |
| 4 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:32 | 66 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 53:26 | 65 |
| 6 | Al Talaba | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 53:38 | 65 |
| 7 | Al Karkh | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51:41 | 60 |
| 8 | Newroz | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 48:47 | 54 |
| 9 | Zakho | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 49:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Duhok | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:45 | 50 |
| 11 | Diyala | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40:42 | 49 |
| 12 | Al Naft | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 33:34 | 48 |
| 13 | Al Mosul | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 46:49 | 47 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 40:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Missan | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 48:57 | 43 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 38:47 | 40 |
| 17 | Al Kahraba | 37 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 44:56 | 38 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 47:68 | 37 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 31:68 | 23 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 38 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 21:96 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
