Sport Picks
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Iraq
Stars League 
Match Events
5'
5'
Al Rosan S.
11'
11'
Ismael M. D.
Assist: Oueslati H.
25'
25'
Gaze I.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Stars League matchup, with the score ending 3-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
52%
20%
28%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newroz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Newroz lately — more wins on the board than Al Quwa Al Jawiya.
- Model gives Newroz a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Newroz | Al Quwa Al Jawiya |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 15 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 14, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
3:3
Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Newroz Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismael M. D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Msuva S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare
Top Goalscorer Jawad M.
2 Goals Assists Leader Al Rosan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Newroz 95 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Newroz Al Quwa Al Jawiya
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Newroz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Newroz's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Newroz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Al Quwa Al Jawiya let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Newroz VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Newroz
(Home) 09 Oct
Zakho
0 : 1 Newroz
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0 Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2 Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0 Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0 Al Mosul
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0 Duhok
14 Aug
Newroz
3 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
27 May
Newroz
1 : 1 Al Mosul
20 May
Newroz
2 : 1 Zakho
Page 1 of 3
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
(Away) 07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
19 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1 : 1 Diyala
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
10 Sept
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0 : 1 Al Zawraa
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Al Mosul
0 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
14 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
07 Sept
Karbala
2 : 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
03 Sept
Duhok
2 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
21 Aug
Erbil
1 : 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Karma | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17:7 | 23 |
| 2 | Newroz | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 4 | Erbil | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:4 | 18 |
| 5 | Al Naft | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 11:5 | 18 |
| 6 | Al Shorta | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 9:4 | 16 |
| 7 | Duhok | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 14:11 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Minaa | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 14:12 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Golan | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 11 | Diyala | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | 9 |
| 12 | Zakho | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Ghaz Al Shamal | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4:7 | 8 |
| 14 | Al Kahraba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 15 | Al Talaba | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 16 | Naft Missan | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:12 | 8 |
| 17 | Al Mosul | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Al Karkh | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Al Gharraf | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4:12 | 6 |
| 20 | Karbala | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 6 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League (Relegation)
