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Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Iraq Iraq

Stars League
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mrsic O.
68' Event
Abu Taha M.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Newroz and Al Quwa Al Jawiya finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Newroz
33%
Draws
40%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Newroz haven't matched Al Quwa Al Jawiya's recent run of results.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Al Quwa Al Jawiya taking it.
  • Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Newroz Clean Sheet 16%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Al Quwa Al Jawiya
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 22
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 1
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1:1
Feb 13, 2026 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0:1
Dec 20, 2024 Stars League
Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Newroz
2:0
May 31, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Mrsic O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Taha M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 28 / 100
Al Quwa Al Jawiya 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick QUW Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Newroz scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Newroz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Quwa Al Jawiya let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newroz VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Quwa Al Jawiya38278362:2889
2Al Shorta38248669:3280
3Erbil382310559:3279
4Al Zawraa381715650:3266
5Al-Karma381714753:2665
6Al Talaba381811953:3865
7Al Karkh3816121051:4160
8Newroz381661648:4754
9Zakho3814111349:4553
10Duhok3813111444:4550
11Diyala3813101540:4249
12Al Naft3811151233:3448
13Al Mosul3811141346:4947
14Al Gharraf3811111640:4344
15Naft Missan3811101748:5743
16Al Minaa389131638:4740
17Al Kahraba371152144:5638
18Baghdad381072147:6837
19Al Najaf37652631:6823
20Al-Qassim38063221:966