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Newroz vs Zakho

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Karim H.
55' Event
Neto Acara
Penalty Missed
55' Event
Ismael M. D.

AI Match Summary

Newroz in this Stars League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Newroz
35%
Draws
20%
Zakho
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Newroz have won more games recently than Zakho.
  • Win probability leans Newroz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%
Zakho Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newroz Zakho
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Stars League
Newroz vs Zakho
2:1
Oct 4, 2025 Stars League
Zakho vs Newroz
4:0
Jul 8, 2025 Iraq Cup
Zakho vs Newroz
1:0
May 24, 2025 Stars League
Newroz vs Zakho
0:0
Sep 26, 2024 Stars League
Zakho vs Newroz
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Ismael M. D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Zakho Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newroz 95 / 100
Zakho 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newroz Zakho

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Newroz stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Zakho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Newroz VS Zakho
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Newroz

(Home)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
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Zakho

(Away)
19 Sept
Al-Karma
1 : 0
Zakho
13 Sept
Zakho
2 : 1
Al Mosul
09 Sept
Al Golan
1 : 1
Zakho
05 Sept
Zakho
0 : 0
Al Talaba
29 Aug
Al Zawraa
4 : 0
Zakho
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 27 8 3 62:28 89
2 Al Shorta 38 24 8 6 69:32 80
3 Erbil 38 23 10 5 59:32 79
4 Al Zawraa 38 17 15 6 50:32 66
5 Al-Karma 38 17 14 7 53:26 65
6 Al Talaba 38 18 11 9 53:38 65
7 Al Karkh 38 16 12 10 51:41 60
8 Newroz 38 16 6 16 48:47 54
9 Zakho 38 14 11 13 49:45 53
10 Duhok 38 13 11 14 44:45 50
11 Diyala 38 13 10 15 40:42 49
12 Al Naft 38 11 15 12 33:34 48
13 Al Mosul 38 11 14 13 46:49 47
14 Al Gharraf 38 11 11 16 40:43 44
15 Naft Missan 38 11 10 17 48:57 43
16 Al Minaa 38 9 13 16 38:47 40
17 Al Kahraba 37 11 5 21 44:56 38
18 Baghdad 38 10 7 21 47:68 37
19 Al Najaf 37 6 5 26 31:68 23
20 Al-Qassim 38 0 6 32 21:96 6
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2025/2026 (Relegation)