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Newry City vs Crumlin Utd

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Club Friendly 2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Newry City play Crumlin Utd in the Club Friendly 2020. It looks like a close match. Recently, Newry City averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. Crumlin Utd averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. In past meetings, Newry City won 0, Crumlin Utd won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 18, 2020 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Newry City and 1.94 for Crumlin Utd. This points to a Crumlin Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Newry City
15%
Draws
52%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Newry City picked up more points recently compared to Crumlin Utd.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 1.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Newry City Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 6 1
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.16 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2020 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Crumlin Utd
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Newry City Compare

Top Goalscorer King D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Crumlin Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Hughes P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 32 / 100
Crumlin Utd 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Newry City Crumlin Utd

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Crumlin Utd or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Newry City attacking → ← attacking Crumlin Utd

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Crumlin Utd let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Newry City went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Crumlin Utd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 43
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75