Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2013/2014 The Showgrounds, Newry

Newry City

Sat, Nov 9, 2013

1 - 0

01:30 PM

Downpatrick

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Newry City in this Irish Cup 2013/2014 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%

Newry City

15%

Draws

21%

Downpatrick

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Newry City lately — more wins on the board than Downpatrick.
Win probability leans Newry City's way, sitting at 80%.
Newry City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Newry City, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Newry City Clean Sheet 15%

Downpatrick Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Newry City	Downpatrick
Matches Played	30	13
Wins	10	6
Draws	5	0
Losses	15	7
Goals Scored	1.23	1.77
Goals Conceded	1.8	1.92
Expected Goals (xG)	1.29	1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2013 Irish Cup

Newry City vs Downpatrick

1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Newry City 75 / 100

Downpatrick 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Newry City Downpatrick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newry City found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Downpatrick conceded in 85% of 13 recent games.

Recent resilience: Newry City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Downpatrick's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Newry City VS -

1.38 Goals Scored 0

2.13 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

(Home)

21 Aug

Newry City

0 : 3

Warrenpoint

15 Aug

Rathfriland Rangers

1 : 2

Newry City

11 Aug

Newry City

1 : 4

Glenavon

08 Aug

Ballinamallard

0 : 1

Newry City

28 Jul

Newry City

1 : 0

Bangor FC

Page 1 of 6

Downpatrick

(Away)

03 Oct

St. Marys

3 : 1

Downpatrick

09 Nov

Newry City

1 : 0

Downpatrick

19 Nov

Larne Technical Old Boys

2 : 0

Downpatrick

23 Oct

Downpatrick

0 : 4

Nortel

18 Sept

Downpatrick

2 : 1

Drumaness

Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Ballymena -

TBD -

Killymoon -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Dergview -

TBD -

Nortel 0

Drumaness 2

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Moyola -

TBD -

Annagh -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ardglass 5

Carniny Amateur & Youth 3

TBD -

Glebe -

Chimney -

TBD -

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Lisburn Distillery -

TBD -

Institute -

Tobermore -

TBD -

PSNI -

Limavady -

TBD -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 0

Derriaghy 3

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Queens University -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Sirocco 2

Rathfern Rangers 1

TBD -

Sport & Leisure -

Strabane Athletic 2

Crumlin United 0

Bryansburn 1

Lisburn Rangers 3

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Armagh -

TBD -

Loughgall -

TBD -

Ards -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballyclare -

TBD -

Larne -

Downshire Y.M. 3

Shankill 2

Immaculata 0

Kilmore Rec 1

Dundela -

TBD -

Portstewart -

Coagh Utd -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Ballymoney -

TBD -

Newington FC -

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Bangor Swifts 1

TBD -

Banbridge -

Crumlin Star 2

Newbuildings 1

Downpatrick 0

Newry City 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballymena -

TBD -

Killymoon 1

Harland & Wolff 8

Dergview 2

Drumaness 0

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Cliftonville -

Moyola 2

Annagh 0

TBD -

Dungannon -

Bangor FC 5

Knockbreda 2

Ardglass 2

Glebe 3

Chimney 3

Wakehurst 0

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute 1

Tobermore 1

PSNI 2

Limavady 2

Derriaghy 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Queens University 5

Glenavon -

TBD -

Sirocco 1

Sport & Leisure 2

Strabane Athletic 2

Lisburn Rangers 0

TBD -

Ballinamallard -

Armagh 2

Loughgall 0

TBD -

Ards -

Portadown -

TBD -

Glentoran -

Ballyclare 4

Larne 1

Downshire Y.M. 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Dundela 5

Portstewart 2

Coagh Utd 0

Carrick Rangers 2

Ballymoney 3

Newington FC 1

Rathfriland Rangers 2

Banbridge 4

Crumlin Star 4

Newry City 1

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballymena 3

Harland & Wolff 2

Dergview 0

Linfield 5

Coleraine 6

Cliftonville 5

Moyola 1

Dungannon 5

Bangor FC 7

Glebe 1

Chimney 0

Warrenpoint 2

Lisburn Distillery 2

PSNI 0

Limavady 0

Queens University 1

Glenavon 7

Sport & Leisure 0

Strabane Athletic 0

Ballinamallard 1

Armagh 5

Ards 3

Portadown 1

Glentoran 3

Ballyclare 3

Kilmore Rec 0

Dundela 2

Carrick Rangers 3

Ballymoney 1

Banbridge 0

Crumlin Star 1

Crusaders 2

1/8-finals

Ballymena 2

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Dungannon 3

Bangor FC 1

Warrenpoint 0

Lisburn Distillery 0

Queens University 2

Glenavon 3

Ballinamallard 0

Armagh 2

Glentoran 3

Ballyclare 2

Carrick Rangers 1

Ballymoney 0

Crusaders 4

Quarter-finals

Ballymena 4

Dungannon 1

Bangor FC 2

Queens University 3

Glenavon 2

Glentoran 1

Ballyclare 0

Crusaders 5

Semi-finals

Ballymena 3

Queens University 0

Glenavon 3

Crusaders 1

Final

Ballymena 1

Glenavon 2

Newry City vs Downpatrick

Northern Ireland

Newry City

Downpatrick

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Newry City

Downpatrick

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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